The Los Angeles Angels are set to square off against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will be airing this AL showdown and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Boston (-140) is hosting this one as the favorite against Los Angeles (+130) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. The game’s current runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Angels +1.5 runs and +150 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs.
The Red Sox are 53-27 straight up (SU) and 44-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.7 units for moneyline bettors and 8.8 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Angels have gone 41-39 SU this year and are 34-45 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 4.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 14.5 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 37-40-2 so far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 36-38-5.
Southpaw Andrew Heaney is projected to start for the visiting Angels. Heaney (4-5, 3.43 ERA) has recorded 72 strikeouts in 78.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Red Sox will put the ball in the right hand of Rick Porcello (9-3, 3.44 ERA), who has 94 strikeouts and 22 walks as well as a 1.10 WHIP. Porcello is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Los Angeles this year.
Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.70 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.10, a WHIP of 1.18 and a K/9 of 9.6.
The Boston offense has put up 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 7.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .344/.390/.586 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi have led the Red Sox hitters this year. Martinez is hitting .326/.393/.646 with 24 home runs, 61 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Benintendi’s line is .290/.374/.522 with 13 homers, 51 RBIs, 55 runs and 12 steals.
In the other dugout, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.74 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.03 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.98, along with a K-per-9 of 9.22.
The Angels offense has slashed .245/.320/.415 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Right fielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons have led Los Angeles’ offense. Trout is hitting .324/.459/.651 with 23 home runs, 48 RBIs, 62 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Simmons is hitting .308/.372/.419 with four homers, 34 RBIs and 37 runs scored.
The Angels have gained 4.8 units and are 29-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 27 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 1.8 units and are 9-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in eight of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Los Angeles has tallied six extra-base hits over its last five contests. Boston has 27 XBH over its last five.
The Red Sox have won four of their last five games SU.
Los Angeles has recorded 18.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14.0 over its last five.
Both teams have hit 13 home runs over their last 10 games.
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