The Los Angeles Chargers (+4) are set to face off against the Kansas City Chiefs (-4) at Arrowhead Stadium. This Thursday game will be nationally-televised on FOX and the opening kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles Chargers +4 +140 ov 56
Kansas City Chiefs -4 -160 un 56
Odds Provided by BetDSI.eu
In what might be an AFC playoff preview, Kansas City is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 4 points. The Chargers are also receiving +140 moneyline odds while the Chiefs are -160. Should one squad finds paydirt early it’ll result in a reasonable live betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 56 points.
Odds have shifted a hair from when they were originally posted. The opening line was -3 while the game’s over/under was placed initially at 56.5.
Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Chargers have recorded 3.9 units while the Chiefs are up 8.9 units.
The Chargers have gone 10-3 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against AFC West opponents. The Chiefs are 11-2 SU overall and 4-0 SU against divisional foes.
The Chargers just put together a 26-21 win over Cincinnati last week in which Philip Rivers completed 19 passes for 220 yards and one touchdown. Austin Ekeler (66 rushing yards on 15 attempts, one TD) provided the ground attack while Keenan Allen (five receptions, 78 yards, one TD) and Mike Williams (three catches, 45 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Kansas City is coming off of a 27-24 win over Baltimore in Week 14. Patrick Mahomes completed 35-of-53 passes for 377 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Spencer Ware (75 rushing yards on 15 attempts) spearheaded the running game as Tyreek Hill (eight receptions, 139 yards) and Travis Kelce (seven catches, 77 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Los Angeles has run the ball on 44.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Kansas City has an overall rush percentage of 40.2 percent. The Chargers have produced 122 rush yards/game (including 103 per game against West opponents) and have 12 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Chiefs are logging 119 rushing yards per game (118 in conference) and have 12 total rush TDs.
The Bolts offense has logged 280 yards per game through the air overall (347 per game against conference opposition) and has 29 passing scores so far. The Chiefs have put up 331 pass yards per contest (289.5 against AFC foes) and have 43 total pass TDs.
Los Angeles appears to have an edge in both defensive facets. The team’s allowed opponents to rush for an average of 107 yards and pass for 242 yards per game. The Kansas City D has allowed 304.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 127.8 yards per game on the ground. The Bolts are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.80 to opponents, while the Chiefs have given up a 6.39 ANY/A.
Offensively, Rivers is up to 3,339 passing yards on the year, and has completed 258-of-373 attempts with 27 scores through the air and only six interceptions. He has an 8.82 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.96 over the last two outings.
We’re expecting the Chargers to control tempo by feeding their running backs early and often. In addition to wideout Keenan Allen (926 receiving yards and five touchdowns), Austin Ekeler (475 rush yards, two rush TDs, 382 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Justin Jackson (76 rush yards, 42 receiving yards) have really been focal points in the offensive scheme for Los Angeles.
Patrick Mahomes has completed 299-of-444 passes for 4,005 yards, 39 TDs and 11 INTs for Kansas City. His ANY/A stands at 8.85 for the season and 7.63 across his past two outings.
The Chiefs also like to utilize their backfield. In addition to Travis Kelce (991 receiving yards, eight receiving TDs), Tyreek Hill (87 rush yards, 1,245 receiving yards, 11 receiving TDs) and Spencer Ware (199 rush yards, one rush TD, 219 receiving yards) have gotten a multitude of action lately.
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Notes
Betting Trends
Both teams have lost four fumbles this year.
The Kansas City defense has created 42 sacks on the year while Los Angeles has just 32.
Los Angeles has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.6 over its last two.
Kansas City has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.7 over its past two.
In its last three matchups, Kansas City is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
The Over/Under for Los Angeles’ last game was set at 48. The under cashed in the team’s 26-21 victory over Cincinnati.
In its last three games, Los Angeles is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Kansas City’s last game was 48.5. The over cashed in the team’s 27-24 victory over Baltimore.
Los Angeles has won 10 of its last 11 games SU, with a one-point loss to Denver on November 18th accounting for the only defeat over that stretch.
Kansas City has won seven of its last eight games SU, with a -3-point defeat to Los Angeles on November 19th representing its one loss over that stretch.
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