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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick 07/10/18

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres are set to host their division foe Los Angeles Dodgers at PETCO Park. The matchup will begin at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports San Diego to catch the game.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Odds

San Diego (+160) is coming into this one as the underdog against Los Angeles (-170) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). The game’s runline odds sit at -120 for picking the Dodgers -1.5 runs and +100 for the Padres +1.5.

The Dodgers are 49-41 SU and have gone 40-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 8.2 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 39-54 SU and 43-49 ATS. The team’s lost 4.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 22.4 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

San Diego games have an over/under record of 41-48-3 so far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 45-42-2.

Rich Hill is getting the start for the Dodgers. The left-handed Hill is 2-3 with a 4.56 ERA and 51 strikeouts. This is his first outing against San Diego this year. He did make four starts against the Padres in 2017, putting together a 3-0 record against them with a 1.08 ERA and 35 strikeouts.

The Padres will send Eric Lauer (4-5, 4.84 ERA) to the mound. Lauer has 56 strikeouts and 29 walks to his name, as well as a 1.76 WHIP. Lauer is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Los Angeles this year.

San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.78, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 3.65 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 40 games against NL West opponents, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.33 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.52.

The San Diego offense has put up 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .201/.271/.360 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and outfielder Jose Pirela have led the Padres’ batters this year. Hosmer is hitting .256/.328/.407 with nine home runs, 38 RBIs and 39 runs scored, and Pirela is hitting .263 with three homers, 27 RBIs and 44 runs scored.

For the visitors, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.32 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 9.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.87, along with a K/9 of 9.23.

The Dodgers offense has slashed .244/.327/.432 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor continue to lead Los Angeles’ offense. Kemp is slashing .316/.359/.545 with 15 home runs, 58 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Taylor (.259/.339/.463) is up to 10 homers, 38 RBIs and 52 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 8.5 units and are 9-19 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Notes

Los Angeles has tallied 10 extra-base hits over its last five contests. San Diego has 14 XBH over its last five.

The Dodgers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 10 over their last 10.

Los Angeles has recorded 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.8 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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