The Georgia State Panthers (12-4, 3-0 SBC) look to extend their five-game winning streak against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (9-6, 2-1 SBC) at GSU Sports Arena. The game gets underway at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks at Georgia State Panthers ATS Prediction
The last time the Warhawks played, they were defeated by the Georgia Southern Eagles, 79-78. Georgia Southern’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Louisiana-Monroe. The Eagles had a rate of 17.0 (worse than their season average of 16.0), while the Warhawks posted a mark of 19.1 (above their season average of 14.2). Daishon Smith was the game’s high scorer with 27 points on 8-for-15 shooting.
The Panthers were victorious over the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns in their last outing, 89-76. The Panthers had a phenomenal effective field goal percentage of 0.636 (above their season average of 0.550), while the Ragin’ Cajuns had a free throw rate of 0.212 (below their season average of 0.264). D’Marcus Simonds led Georgia State in scoring with 21 points on 7-for-17 shooting from the field.
After the Warhawks won the lone game against the Panthers last season, 90-82, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. Louisiana-Monroe’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Georgia State. The Warhawks had a rate of 0.708 while the Panthers posted a mark of 0.485.
Michael Ertel has averaged 17 points,4.0 assists over the last five games for Louisiana-Monroe.
The productive offense of Georgia State (86th in the nation with an offensive efficiency of 110.3) will battle against the mid-tier defense of Louisiana-Monroe (191st in the nation with a defensive efficiency of 101.8). The Panthers figure to have the edge on that side of the ball. Additionally, the Warhawks rank 44th in turnover percentage (16.5 percent), while the Panthers rank 60th in opponents’ turnover percentage (22.2 percent).
Louisiana-Monroe vs. Georgia State Odds Pick
Free Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Georgia State, ATS Winner – Louisiana-Monroe, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Louisiana-Monroe ranks 99th in three pointers attempted per game (24.1) while Georgia State ranks 241st in three pointers allowed per game (26.9).
The Panthers rank 25th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Warhawks rank 154th (2.4).
Georgia State ranks 17th in steals per game (8.8) while Louisiana-Monroe ranks 137th (5.8).
The Warhawks rank 187th in rebounds allowed per game (36.7) while the Panthers rank 236th (38.8).
Louisiana-Monroe ranks 150th in assists per game (13.2) while Georgia State ranks 197th in assists allowed per game (15.1).
Bettings Trends:
The Warhawks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.4, down from 6.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Panthers have scored an average of 85.6 points per game (8.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 68.6 points per game (4.5 below their season average).
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