The Milwaukee Brewers will head east to face off against their division rival Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be airing the action and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Milwaukee (-125) as the favorite over Pittsburgh (+115). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for +100. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Brewers -1.5 runs (+120) and Pirates +1.5 runs (-140).
The Pirates are 77-74 straight up (SU) and 73-78 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 13.1 units (ATS). The Brewers are 87-66 SU and have gone 79-74 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 15.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 1.1 units ATS.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 66-75-10 in 2018. The Brewers have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 71-78-4.
Jhoulys Chacin is getting the start for Milwaukee. The right-handed Chacin (14-8, 3.54 ERA) has recorded 149 strikeouts in 178 innings so far. He’s 0-3 with 19 strikeouts and a 2.51 ERA against Pittsburgh this year (five starts).
The Pirates are sending righty Ivan Nova (9-9, 4.07 ERA) to the mound. Nova has 109 strikeouts and 31 walks to his name, as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Nova is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.69 ERA over two starts against Milwaukee this year.
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 3.98 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.07 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 66 games against divisional opponents, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.44 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.63.
The Pittsburgh hitters have put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .263/.324/.371 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson have led the Pirates’ batters this year. Marte is hitting .278/.321/.454 with 19 home runs, 67 RBIs, 76 runs and 33 steals, while Dickerson’s line is .294/.324/.458 with 11 homers, 51 RBIs and 61 runs.
In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.90 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.80 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.59, along with a K/9 of 10.20.
The Brewers offense has slashed .250/.322/.419 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is slashing .319/.385/.569 with 31 home runs, 93 RBIs, 104 runs and 20 stolen bases, while Cain is hitting .308/.398/.423 with 10 homers, 37 RBIs, 82 runs and 28 stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 15.5 units and are 60-53 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 48 of those games, compared to 61 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 9.8 units and are 54-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 58 that’ve cashed the under.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in five of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
Pittsburgh has recorded 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.0 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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