The New York Mets will be squaring off against their division rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Odds
New York (-140) is favored over Washington (+130) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at eight runs (-110 for both the over and the under). The game’s runline odds stand at +105 for taking the Mets -1.5 runs and -125 for the Nationals +1.5.
The Nationals are 77-76 straight up (SU) and 72-80 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 23.1 units for moneyline bettors and 11.6 units (ATS). Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mets are 71-82 SU and have gone 75-76 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 13.3 units for moneyline bettors and 8.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
Washington games have an over/under record of 70-79-3 in 2018. Mets games have gone under 76 times, gone over 66 times and pushed on nine occasions.
The right-handed Jacob deGrom is projected to start for New York. deGrom is 8-9 with a 1.78 ERA and 251 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 17 strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Washington this year (two starts).
The Nationals are sending righty Joe Ross (0-0, 3.60 ERA) to the mound. Ross has zero strikeouts and two walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.20. Ross has yet to face the Mets this year, but he made three starts against them in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 4.76 ERA and 15 strikeouts.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.70 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.19 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.94, along with a K/9 of 8.51.
Mets hitters have slashed .236/.314/.393 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
New York’s offensive production has been sparked by shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto. The speedy Rosario is slashing .263/.300/.394 with nine home runs, 49 RBIs, 73 runs and 21 steals, while Conforto (.239/.343/.441) has produced 27 homers, 77 RBIs and 73 runs scored.
For the home team, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.05, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.96 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 70 games against divisional opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.28 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.27.
The Washington hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .240/.370/.363 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Nationals’ offense has been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is hitting .268/.340/.402 with 17 home runs, 65 RBIs, 96 runs and 40 stolen bases, while Rendon’s line sits at .304/.369/.522 with 22 homers, 82 RBIs and 82 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 6.2 units and are 55-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, as opposed to 54 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 7.3 units and are 54-57 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 50 of those games, compared to 59 that went under.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in only one of New York’s last seven games.
New York has posted 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.6 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 13 over their last 10.
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