The No. 10 Nevada Wolf Pack (15-1, 2-1 MWC) visit Fresno State to take on the Bulldogs (12-3, 3-0 MWC) in a matchup that pits phenomenal offense against exceptional defense. The game will air on ESPNU at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019.
Nevada Wolf Pack at Fresno State Bulldogs ATS Prediction
In the Wolf Pack’s last contest, they dismantled the San Jose State Spartans, 92-53. The Wolf Pack forced 22 turnovers and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.610 (above their season average of 0.525). Nevada received a boost from Caleb Martin, who was the top scorer from either team with 23 points on 8-for-15 shooting.
The Bulldogs won a close one over the Utah State Aggies in their last matchup, 78-77. Fresno State’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Utah State. The Bulldogs had a rate of 12.7 (better than their season average of 16.3), while the Aggies posted a mark of 15.0. Braxton Huggins was the game’s top scorer with 33 points on 12-for-21 shooting from the field.
After the Wolf Pack won both games against the Bulldogs last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last game, Nevada won 102-92. The Wolf Pack had a much better turnover percentage (6.7 vs. 14.5) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (21.4 vs. 14.8).
Looking at effective field goal percentage, this appears to be a balanced game. The sweet-shooting Fresno State offense ranks 47th in the nation in that metric at 0.553, while the top-notch Nevada defense is ranked 48th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.464).
Nevada at Fresno State ATS Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Fresno State, ATS Winner – Nevada, O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes:
Fresno State ranks 47th in three pointers attempted per game (26.5) while Nevada ranks 212th in three pointers allowed per game (25.3).
The Wolf Pack rank fourth in steals allowed per game (4.4) while the Bulldogs rank 65th (5.9).
Fresno State averages 36.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 128th in the country. Nevada ranks 183rd in rebounds allowed per game (36.8).
The Bulldogs rank 46th in assists per game (15.9) while the Wolf Pack rank 97th in assists allowed per game (12.6).
Nevada ranks 39th in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while Fresno State ranks 82nd (3.3).
Bettings Trends:
The Wolf Pack’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.2, down from 14.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bulldogs have scored an average of 76.4 points per game (2.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 62.8 points per game (3.6 below their season average).
+++++
