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New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free Pick 09/26/18

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will be taking on their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. The action will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to YES Network.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

The Rays are 87-70 straight up (SU) and 89-67 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 24.3 units for moneyline bettors and 23.4 units (ATS). Tampa Bay has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Yankees have gone 97-60 SU this year and are 76-80 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 11.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 14.6 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Rays games have had an over/under record of 68-83-5 in 2018. Yankees games have gone under 78 times, gone over 71 times and pushed on seven occasions.

The right-handed Masahiro Tanaka is getting the nod for New York. Tanaka is 12-5 with a 3.67 ERA and 155 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 15 strikeouts and a 1.20 ERA against Tampa Bay this year (two starts).

The Rays are sending righty Ryne Stanek (2-3, 2.70 ERA) to the mound. Stanek has 76 strikeouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.07. Stanek is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA across three starts against New York this year.

As a unit, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has yielded 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.60 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.72 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 71 divisional games, Rays starters have an ERA of 4.75 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.68.

Tampa Bay’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .206/.328/.370 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Rays’ hitters have been led by third baseman Matt Duffy and second baseman Joey Wendle. Duffy is slashing .294/.360/.366 with four home runs, 44 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Wendle’s line is .300/.355/.438 with seven homers, 57 RBIs, 59 runs and 15 steals.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.02 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.18 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.34, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K/9 of 11.35.

The Yankees offense has slashed .248/.332/.448 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton continue to lead New York’s offense. Andujar is hitting .298/.329/.525 with 26 home runs, 87 RBIs and 79 runs scored, while Stanton (.260/.337/.493) has produced 35 homers, 94 RBIs and 97 runs scored.

The Yankees have lost 13.1 units and are 57-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 52 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in four of New York’s last seven outings.

The Yankees have won four of their last five games SU while the Rays have dropped three of their last four.

New York fielders have nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to four errors for Tampa Bay over its last 10.

The Yankees have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 10 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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