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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. UC Davis Aggies ATS Preview 11/29/18

Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

The UC Davis Aggies (1-6) challenge the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (2-2) at The Pavilion. The game begins at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 29, 2018.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. UC Davis Aggies Free Prediction

The last time the Lumberjacks played, they were topped by the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, 85-68. Hawaii’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Northern Arizona. The Rainbow Warriors had a rate of 36.0 (above their season average of 32.1), while the Lumberjacks posted a mark of 18.8 (below their season average of 30.7). Carlos Hines led Northern Arizona in scoring with 18 points on 7-for-13 shooting.

The Aggies lost to the Indiana Hoosiers in their last contest, 76-62. Indiana’s 0.286 free throw rate was their largest strength over UC Davis, who had a rate of 0.080. The Hoosiers’ mark was above their season average of 0.245, while the Aggies’ was below their season average of 0.219. UC Davis’ TJ Shorts II put together a good performance, leading the team in scoring with 16 points on 6-for-11 shooting.

The physical UC Davis offense might be living from the free throw line in this meeting. The Aggies rank 68th in the NCAA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.268, while Northern Arizona ranks 259th in FTA rate allowed (0.260) dating back to the 2017-18 season. Moreover, the 341st-ranked offense of the Lumberjacks (offensive efficiency of 94.5) will face a tough challenge against the 54th-ranked defense of the Aggies (defensive efficiency of 99.0).

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. UC Davis Aggies Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – UC Davis, ATS Winner – Northern Arizona, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

UC Davis ranks 108th in three pointers allowed per game (20.8) while Northern Arizona ranks 290th (24.4).

The Aggies rank 112th in assists allowed per game (12.7) while the Lumberjacks rank 288th (15.4).

UC Davis averages 7.0 steals per game, which ranks 78th in the nation. Northern Arizona ranks 237th in steals allowed per game (7.0).

The Lumberjacks rank 175th in blocks per game (3.1) while the Aggies rank 257th (2.3).

Northern Arizona ranks 262nd in rebounds per game (33.5) while UC Davis ranks 303rd (32.4).

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Written by GMS Previews

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