The Philadelphia Phillies will play their divisional rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The matchup will get underway at 1:35 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to FOX Sports South to catch the game.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Odds
The Braves are 87-68 straight up (SU) and 78-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 19.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.5 units (ATS). The Phillies are 78-76 SU and have gone 71-82 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 21.3 units ATS.
Atlanta games have had an over/under record of 75-72-6 in 2018. The Phillies have been a decent under bet with a total record of 70-77-6.
Right-hander Aaron Nola is getting the nod for Philadelphia. Nola (16-5, 2.44 ERA) has recorded 210 punchouts in 199.1 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with nine strikeouts and a 2.95 ERA against Atlanta this year (three starts).
The Braves are preparing to start righty Anibal Sanchez (6-6, 3.01 ERA), who has 127 punchouts and 39 walks, as well as a 1.10 WHIP. Sanchez has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In 69 games against divisional foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.17 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.93.
Atlanta’s hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .250/.361/.378 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and outfielder Nick Markakis have led the Braves’ offense this year. Freeman is hitting .311/.390/.507 with 23 home runs, 95 RBIs and 94 runs scored, and the line for Markakis stands at .302/.369/.449 with 14 homers, 93 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.03 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.06 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.01, along with a K-per-9 of 9.09.
The Phillies offense has slashed .236/.317/.396 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera continue to lead Philadelphia’s offense. Hernandez is slashing .255/.359/.364 with 14 home runs, 57 RBIs, 88 runs and 19 stolen bases. Herrera (.255/.313/.425) is up to 22 homers, 68 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
The Phillies have lost 6.7 units and are 54-62 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 52 of those games, compared to 60 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 22.1 units and are 60-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 52 of those games, compared to 52 that went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in six of Atlanta’s last seven games.
Atlanta has posted 21 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit seven over their last 10.
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