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Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick 09/23/18

Kiel Maddox-USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies are ready to face off against their divisional rival Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast the matchup.

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Arizona (-110) is favored over Colorado (+100) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Rockies +1.5 runs (-210) and Diamondbacks -1.5 runs (+175).

The Rockies are 84-70 SU and have gone 78-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.7 units ATS. Colorado’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 79-76 SU and 76-78 ATS. The team’s lost 8.9 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.6 units ATS. Arizona has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Arizona games have an over/under record of 71-77-6 in 2018. The Rockies have also been a great under bet with a total record of 64-82-7.

Kyle Freeland will get the nod for the visiting Rockies. The left-handed Freeland is 15-7 with a 2.95 ERA and 163 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 21 strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA against Arizona this year (four starts).

The Diamondbacks are handing the ball to righty Zack Godley (14-10, 4.79 ERA), who has 175 strikeouts and 76 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.45. Godley is 1-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 6.14 ERA across three starts against Colorado this year.

Arizona’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.82, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 3.61 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 69 games against NL West opponents, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.99 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.23.

The Arizona offense is putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .188/.202/.375 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Diamondbacks’ hitters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and left fielder David Peralta. Goldschmidt is hitting .296/.396/.548 with 33 home runs, 83 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Peralta’s line sits at .295/.351/.519 with 29 homers, 84 RBIs and 74 runs.

For the visiting squad, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.29 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.51 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.69, along with a WHIP of 1.29.

The Rockies offense has slashed .254/.321/.426 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Outfielder Charlie Blackmon and shortstop Trevor Story continue to lead Colorado’s offense. Blackmon is hitting .288/.357/.493 with 27 home runs, 65 RBIs and 111 runs scored, while Story (.288/.343/.550) has produced 33 homers, 102 RBIs, 81 runs and 26 stolen bases.

The Rockies have gained 9.8 units and are 45-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 44 of those games, as opposed to 46 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have lost 1.4 units and are 26-28 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 24 of those games, as opposed to 27 which went under the total.

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in just two of Colorado’s last seven outings.

The Diamondbacks have dropped six of their last seven games SU.

The Colorado defense has allowed three errors over the last 10 games, compared to eight errors for Arizona over its last 10.

The Rockies have hit five home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 14 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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