The Philadelphia Phillies will be squaring off against their division rival New York Mets at Citi Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will televise the matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets Odds
New York (-150) is favored over Philadelphia (+140) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (-125 for the under and +105 for the over). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Phillies +1.5 runs (-155) and Mets -1.5 runs (+135).
The Mets are 63-77 straight up (SU) and 67-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.7 units for moneyline bettors and 11.1 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. On the other hand, the Phillies have gone 74-66 SU this year and are 67-72 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 3.5 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 14.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Mets games have had an over/under record of 61-70-7 in 2018. The Phillies have also been a good under bet with a total record of 61-73-5.
Zach Eflin is getting the nod for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Eflin is 9-6 with a 4.05 ERA and 102 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA against New York this year (two starts).
The Mets are putting the ball in the right hand of Noah Syndergaard (10-3, 3.33 ERA), who has 128 punchouts and 26 walks as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Syndergaard is 0-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 5.59 ERA across two starts against Philadelphia this year.
New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.00 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 57 games against divisional opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.64 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.04.
The New York hitters have put up 4.1 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .262/.306/.424 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Mets’ offense has been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto. Rosario is slashing .256/.296/.381 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs, 63 runs and 18 steals, and Conforto’s line sits at .230/.338/.405 with 21 homers, 58 RBIs and 63 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.86 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.95 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.94, along with a WHIP of 1.23.
Phillies hitters have slashed .236/.316/.396 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been led by outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez, who have combined to drive in 110 runs. Herrera is slashing .264/.317/.439 with 21 home runs, 65 RBIs and 60 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .251/.359/.354 with 11 homers, 45 RBIs, 82 runs and 17 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 3.8 units and are 52-54 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 45 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 6.6 units and are 48-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 45 of those games, compared to 48 which went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Philadelphia has recorded 15 extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 16 XBH over its last five.
Philadelphia fielders have committed zero errors over their last five games, compared to four errors for New York over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit nine over their last 10.
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