The Pittsburgh Pirates will head west to play their NL Central foe Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to broadcast the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Vegas is listing Pittsburgh (+130) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-140). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -170 for betting the Pirates +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Pirates have gone 72-73 SU this year and are 71-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.0 unit for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.3 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 84-63 SU and 76-71 ATS. They’ve gained 17.3 units for moneyline bettors and 0.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Brewers games have had an over/under record of 70-73-4 in 2018. The Pirates have been a decent under bet with a total record of 64-71-10.
Chris Archer is getting the nod for the visiting Pirates. The right-handed Archer is 4-7 with a 4.56 ERA and 137 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are sending lefty Gio Gonzalez (8-11, 4.40 ERA) to the mound. Gonzalez has 133 strikeouts and 71 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.50. Gonzalez is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.93, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.72 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 64 divisional games, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.72 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.19.
Milwaukee’s offense has produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .224/.313/.353 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the way for the Brewers’ offense this year. Yelich is hitting .313/.382/.550 with 28 home runs, 86 RBIs, 99 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Cain’s line is .314/.403/.432 with 10 homers, 36 RBIs, 81 runs and 27 steals.
In the visiting dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.03 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.45 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.09, along with a K-per-9 of 9.68.
Pirates hitters have slashed .254/.320/.407 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Outfielders Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson have paced Pittsburgh’s offense. Marte is slashing .274/.319/.453 with 19 home runs, 66 RBIs, 73 runs and 31 steals, while Dickerson (.291/.319/.451) is up to 11 homers, 49 RBIs and 57 runs scored.
The Pirates have lost 5.8 units and are 19-22 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 17.6 units and are 57-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 47 of those games, compared to 56 that’ve cashed the under.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
Pittsburgh has logged 20 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Milwaukee has 11 XBH over its last five.
The Brewers have won five of their last six games SU.
Pittsburgh fielders have seven errors over the last 10 games, compared to 12 errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.
The Pirates have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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