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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Free Pick 09/14/18

Tigers vs Indians
Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Tigers are paying a visit to Cleveland to take on their division rival Indians at Progressive Field. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will be televising the matchup.

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Odds

Vegas is listing Detroit (+180) as the underdog to Cleveland (-190). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 and the under for +100. You can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Tigers +1.5 runs (-125) and Indians -1.5 runs (+105).

The Tigers have gone 59-87 SU this year and are 77-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.4 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 82-64 SU and 69-77 ATS. The team has lost 20.3 units for moneyline bettors and 18.5 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Indians games have a 70-69-7 over/under record in 2018. Tigers games have gone under 77 times, gone over 62 times and pushed on seven occasions.

Matthew Boyd is getting the start for the visiting Tigers. The left-handed Boyd is 9-12 with a 4.11 ERA and 148 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 6.30 ERA against Cleveland this year (two starts).

The Indians will send righty Josh Tomlin (1-5, 6.63 ERA) to the mound. Tomlin has 35 strikeouts and 10 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.51. Tomlin is 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 2.92 ERA over two starts against Detroit this year.

Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.43, a WHIP of 1.15 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.63 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 63 divisional games, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.63 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.26.

Cleveland’s hitters have produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .206/.308/.365 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Indians’ hitters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley. Lindor is hitting .283/.356/.525 with 34 home runs, 85 RBIs, 119 runs and 23 steals, while Brantley’s line is .307/.361/.469 with 15 homers, 72 RBIs and 79 runs.

In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.48 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.40 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.37, along with a K/9 of 7.99.

Tigers hitters have slashed .242/.303/.383 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias have paced Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is hitting .294/.350/.492 with 21 home runs, 81 RBIs and 78 runs scored, while Iglesias (.269/.310/.389) has produced five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 stolen bases.

The Tigers have lost 13.3 units and are 54-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, compared to 61 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 6.0 units and are 17-20 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 18 that went under.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Detroit has recorded 12 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cleveland has 13 XBH over its last five.

Detroit has posted 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.2 over its last five.

The Tigers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 14 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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