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San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview 07/22/18

In Game 1 of their doubleheader, the San Diego Padres are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. This NL matchup will begin at 12:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports San Diego to catch the game.

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (-155) is favored against San Diego (+145) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -150 for the Padres +1.5 runs and +130 for the Phillies -1.5.

The Padres are 40-60 SU and are 46-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.2 units for moneyline bettors and 24.9 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 54-42 SU and 43-53 ATS. The team’s gained 11.9 units for moneyline bettors while earning 17.9 units ATS.

Phillies games have an over/under record of 41-50-5 so far in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 46-51-3.

The right-handed Tyson Ross is the probable starter for San Diego. Ross is 5-8 with a 4.32 ERA and 97 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Phillies are handing the ball to righty Nick Pivetta (6-7, 4.58 ERA), who has 113 strikeouts and 30 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.32. Pivetta made two starts against the Padres in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record with a 4.50 ERA and 20 strikeouts.

As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 3.77 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .267/.326/.366 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have led the Phillies’ offense this year. Herrera is hitting .278/.328/.460 with 16 home runs, 54 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line is .273/.381/.386 with eight homers, 33 RBIs, 65 runs and 14 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.88 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.59 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.70, along with a WHIP of 1.46 and a K-per-9 of 9.54.

The Padres offense has slashed .233/.300/.367 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

San Diego’s offensive production has been powered by first baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela. Hosmer is slashing .245/.313/.392 with 10 home runs, 41 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Pirela (.260/.311/.354) is up to three homers, 27 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 1.1 units and are 36-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 8.8 units and are 32-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 30 of those games, as opposed to 39 that’ve cashed the under.

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in four of San Diego’s last seven games.

The Padres have dropped seven of their last eight games SU.

San Diego has posted 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.

The Padres have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit seven over their last 10.

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