in , ,

Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins Free Pick 05/14/18

Twins vs Angels
Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins are set to host the Seattle Mariners at Target Field. Fox Sports North is in line to broadcast this AL matchup. The game is scheduled to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Minnesota (-115) as the favorite over Seattle (+105). The total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 or the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Mariners +1.5 runs (-200) and Twins +-1.5 runs (+170).

The Twins are 17-19 SU and 21-14 ATS. They’ve lost 0.5 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.0 units against the spread (ATS). Minnesota has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Mariners are 22-17 SU and have gone 23-15 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 7.1 units for moneyline bettors through the early portions of the season and 7.7 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Twins games have an over/under record of 19-15-1 so far in 2018. Seattle has been a decent over bet with a total record of 23-15.

Wade LeBlanc will get the start for the Mariners. The left-handed LeBlanc is 0-0 with a 3.18 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Twins are sending righty Jake Odorizzi (3-2, 3.83 ERA) to the mound. Odorizzi has 38 strikeouts and 20 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Odorizzi made two starts against the Mariners in 2017, compiling a 0-2 record with a 15.00 ERA.

Minnesota’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.38 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.87 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

Minnesota’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .253/.323/.402 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Twins’ hitters have been led by shortstop Eduardo Escobar and left fielder Eddie Rosario. Escobar is slashing .282/.338/.565 with seven home runs, 20 RBIs and 23 runs scored, and Rosario is hitting .287 with nine homers, 27 RBIs and 26 runs scored.

Rosario did not perform especially well against left-handed pitchers at home in 2017, slashing .291/.300/.407 over 90 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .290/.328/.507).

For the visiting squad, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.99 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.70 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.19, along with a K-per-9 of 10.24.

The Mariners offense has slashed .261/.331/.433 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Seattle’s offensive production been led by outfielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano. Haniger is slashing .293/.382/.579 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Cano is hitting .287/.385/.441 with four homers, 23 RBIs and 24 runs scored.

Maintaining a slash line of .312/.371/.519 across 455 plate appearances, Cano performed well against righty pitching last season (his overall season line was .280/.338/.453).

The Mariners have gained 4.7 units and are 14-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to seven that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 2.0 units and are 5-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to three that went under the total.

Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Trends

The Mariners have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

Seattle has posted 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.0 over its last five.

xxxxx

Written by GMS Previews

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview 05/14/18

Examining the Matt Patricia mess in Detroit