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Top 5 Betting Trends for NFL Week 16

Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports

It’s the most wonderful time of the year for boys and girls around the world. With the NFL playoffs right around the corner, the intensity will be ramped up again with just two weeks to go in the NFL regular season. By this point, we have identified a number of quality NFL betting trends that should help you get an edge when it comes to betting on this week’s game. Here is a look at the top 5 betting trends for NFL Week 16.

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Tennessee is 5-2 ATS this season when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. They have won six of those games outright and 14 of their last 19 in that scenario.

The Titans have been absolutely dominant against their NFC East opponents this season with wins over the Philadelphia Eagles, Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants. At 8-6, Tennessee will need to build on that trend against with another big win when they host the Redskins on Saturday night. The Titans are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games versus NFC opponents. Now they get the opportunity to move one step closer to an AFC Wild Card spot with a win over Josh Johnson and Washington at home. Tennessee is a 10-point favorite for a reason this week. Expect the Titans to win big and cover at home against the Redskins.

Chargers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games overall. The Ravens are 3-6 ATS and SU in their last nine road games where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points. They are also 2-4 ATS and SU versus winning teams this year.

Just in case you forgot how good Phillip Rivers’ LA team has been this season, they enter Week 16 in contention for the top seed in the AFC at 11-3. The Chargers are coming off a massive comeback win over the Chiefs last week and will look to carry over the momentum from that victory when they host the Ravens in a key AFC clash. LA will try to wrap up the home portion of its regular season schedule in style. It’s hard to doubt them considering they are 9-1 in their last 10 games including wins over Seattle, Pittsburgh and Kansas City. Baltimore might be overdue for a loss after winning four of five with Lamar Jackson at quarterback. The Chargers are only favored by five points, so it won’t be a surprise if they win and cover at home in the Saturday late game.

Related: NFL Betting Guide | NFL Parlay Betting

Dallas is 6-1 SU at home this season and 5-2 ATS. They are 21-9 SU in their last 30 as a favorite.

The Cowboys are coming off a tough loss to the Colts. However, they still are in the top spot in the NFC East with a chance to clinch the division this weekend with a win over Tampa Bay. Dallas is 6-1 at home this season. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers are just 1-6 on the road. These trends should continue with the Cowboys having a lot to play for and Tampa Bay sitting at 5-9. Dallas is 5-2 against the spread at home so there is a good chance they win and cover as seven-point favorites.

Patriots have never lost three straight December games under Belichick.

New England is coming off back-to-back December losses for the first time since 2002. The Patriots have never lost three straight December games under Belichick, so there is a good chance they bounce back this weekend at home versus Buffalo. New England is 6-0 at home this season, including a 5-1 ATS record at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots are also 23-2 straight up in home divisional games since 2010. The Bills won’t have much to play for when they make the trip south to face their AFC East rival. New England should win in a blowout.

The Texans have never beat the Eagles before. They are also 2-9 ATS in their last 11 December Games.

In four previous meetings, Houston has lost every time it has faced Philadelphia. The Texans have gone 0-4 straight up and 1-3 against the spread versus the Eagles since their expansion year in 2002. Now they have to go on the road and face a hungry Philadelphia side that is trying to make the postseason. Houston is 0-3 ATS versus AFC East opponents this season. Meanwhile, the Eagles have won six straight home games against AFC opponents. Philadelphia should keep this trend going with another win over the Texans on Sunday to keep its playoff hopes alive.

Written by Geoff Harvey

Geoff Harvey has been creating odds and betting models since his days in the womb, just don't ask him how he used to get his injury reports back then. Harvey contributes a wealth of quality and informational content that is a valuable resource for any handicapper.

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