The Washington Nationals will face their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the matchup and the game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Washington (-110) as the favorite over Philadelphia (+100). The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 and the under for -105. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Nationals -1.5 runs (+135) and Phillies +1.5 runs (-155).
The Phillies are 44-37 straight up (SU) and 34-46 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 6.4 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 19.6 units (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Nationals are 42-39 SU and have gone 40-40 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 11.2 units for moneyline bettors and 1.9 units ATS. Washington is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 37-39-4 so far in 2018. Washington has been a decent under bet with a total record of 32-46-2.
Gio Gonzalez is getting the nod for the visiting Nationals. The southpaw Gonzalez is 6-5 with a 3.68 ERA and 82 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies are sending righty Jake Arrieta (5-6, 3.54 ERA) to the hill. Arrieta has 59 strikeouts and 27 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Arrieta is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Washington this year.
Washington’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.58 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.55 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.86, along with a K-per-9 of 8.89.
The Nationals offense has slashed .240/.320/.400 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have paced Washington’s offense. The speedy Turner is slashing .270/.354/.410 with nine home runs, 29 RBIs, 47 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Rendon is hitting .292 with 11 homers, 35 RBIs and 34 runs scored.
For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 3.84 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 31 games against NL East foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.66.
The Philadelphia offense has produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .253/.322/.456 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ offense has been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .286/.340/.481 with 14 home runs, 46 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Hernandez’s line sits at .271/.378/.394 with eight homers, 27 RBIs, 57 runs and 12 stolen bases.
The Nationals have gained 3.5 units and are 31-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 0.1 units and are 8-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 10 of those games, compared to nine that went under.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in four of Washington’s last seven games.
The Phillies have won three of their last four games SU.
Washington has recorded 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.6 over its last five.
The Nationals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
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