Two clubs with quite different play-calling schemes, the Houston Texans (-5) are set to face their AFC South nemesis Indianapolis Colts at NRG Stadium. This critical early afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET and you can tune in to the action on CBS.
Indianapolis Colts +4.5 +185 ov 49
Houston Texans -4.5 -225 un 49
Odds Provided by BetDSI.eu
Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans Betting Preview
The Colts head into this Sunday AFC game as the dog here and they’re currently getting 5 points. If they want to take the moneyline, gamblers would currently need to wager $200 in order to win $100 back on the Texans (-200). The Colts are getting +170 moneyline odds. This AFC tilt should provide several decent in-game betting opportunities, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 48 points.
Early action has slanted in favor of both the Texans and the under. The opening line was originally set at -4 while the over/under was initially 49.5.
The Colts are down 0.1 units so far in 2018 and 5-6-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 6-6. The Texans have gained 4.3 units this season. The team is 6-5-1 ATS and owns an O/U record of 5-7.
The Colts are 6-6 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against AFC South opponents. The Texans are 9-3 SU overall and 3-1 SU against divisional foes.
The Colts fell to Jacksonville 6-0 in a Week 13 contest where Andrew Luck completed 33 passes for 248 yards and one interception. Marlon Mack (only 27 yards on eight rush attempts) provided the ground attack in the loss while Eric Ebron (10 receptions, 81 yards) and Hines (nine catches, 50 yards) handled the receiving duties.
Houston is coming off of a one-sided 29-13 win over Cleveland in Week 13. The Texans defensive secondary allowed the Browns to air it out for 397 yards. Jarvis Landry was a bright spot in the defeat for Cleveland, recording 103 yards on six catches. For Houston, Deshaun Watson completed 22-of-31 passes for 224 yards and one touchdown. Lamar Miller (103 yards on 19 rush attempts) and Alfred Blue (54 yards on 13 carries) mounted the ground game in the win while DeAndre Hopkins (seven receptions, 91 yards) and DeAndre Carter (six catches, 32 yards) led the receiving attack.
Indianapolis has run the ball on 37.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Houston has a rush percentage of 50.9 percent. The Colts have rushed for 107 yards/game (including 66 per game versus South opponents) and have seven scores via handoffs this year. The Texans are putting up 141 rush yards per game (172 in conference) and have six total rushing TDs.
If 2018 numbers are any indication, then it seems like the Texans might hold an edge when it comes to RB efficiency. Their backfield has produced 4.5 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 3.7 to opponents. The Colts have ran for 4.4 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 3.9 to opponents.
The Colts offense has averaged 280 yards through the air overall (323 per game against conference opposition) and has 32 passing TDs so far. The Texans have recorded 253 pass yards per contest (258.5 against AFC competition) and have 21 total pass scores.
Defensively, Indianapolis has let opponents run for an average of 104 yards and pass for 257 yards per game. The Houston defense has allowed 270.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 91.3 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Colts have given up an ANY/A of 6.44 to opposing QBs, while the Texans are yielding an ANY/A of 6.08.
Offensively, Luck is up to 3,017 passing yards this season, and has connected on 67 percent of his 452 attempts with 29 passing scores and 10 interceptions. Luck has a 6.55 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.18 over the last two outings.
Deshaun Watson has completed 223-of-340 passes for 2,821 yards, 19 TDs and nine INTs for Houston. His ANY/A sits at 6.88 for the season and 6.95 over his past two games.
RELATED: Week 14 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
Free Betting Pick: Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans
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Notes
Betting Notes
The O/U for Indianapolis’ previous game going into it was 45.5. The under cashed in the team’s 6-0 defeat to Jacksonville.
Indianapolis has averaged 3.7 yards per rush attempt across its last three games and 3.8 over its last two.
Houston has averaged 5.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.4 over its last two.
Houston has lost five fumbles this season while Indianapolis has lost seven.
In its last three matches, Indianapolis is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
The O/U for Houston’s last outing was set at 47.5. The under cashed in that 29-13 victory over Cleveland.
Over its last three matchups, Houston is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Each team has produced four pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Colts have have made 11 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Texans have accounted for 15 such plays.
The Indianapolis defense has allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards, while Houston has given up nine such plays.
Both defenses have produced seven rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Indianapolis offense has recorded 30 running plays of 10+ yards while Houston has accounted for 43 such plays.
The Colts defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Texans have given up three such runs.
The Houston defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 34 times this year. Indianapolis has produced 30 sacks.
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