It will be a battle between AmEast opponents when the UMBC Retrievers (10-9, 2-2 AmEast) welcome the Albany Great Danes (5-13, 0-3 AmEast) to the Retriever Activities Center. The game can be seen on ESPN 3 at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 19, 2019.
Albany Great Danes vs. UMBC Retrievers ATS Prediction
In the Great Danes’ last matchup, they were topped by the Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks, 84-72. Massachusetts-Lowell’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over Albany. The River Hawks had a rate of 0.264 (below their season average of 0.273), while the Great Danes posted a mark of 0.143 (below their season average of 0.258). Devonte Campbell had a solid game for Albany, finishing with 15 points and eight rebounds.
The Retrievers had no trouble getting past the Binghamton Bearcats in their last outing, 68-49. The Retrievers held the Bearcats to an offensive rebounding percentage of 3.6 (below their season average of 23.9). The Bearcats had a free throw rate of 0.043 (below their season average of 0.159). Joe Sherburne led UMBC in scoring with 15 points on 5-for-10 shooting from the field.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Retrievers won the most recent contest 68-60. The Retrievers knocked down 13 of their 15 free throws (86.7 percent) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.561 vs. 0.448).
Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the country’s slowest-paced teams battle. UMBC currently ranks 264th in possessions per game (68.2) and Albany is 265th (68.1). Additionally, the 282nd-ranked offense of the Great Danes (offensive efficiency of 99.5) will face a difficult challenge against the 42nd-ranked defense of the Retrievers (defensive efficiency of 94.1).
Albany Great Danes at UMBC Retrievers ATS Pick
Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – UMBC, O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes:
UMBC ranks 24th in steals per game (8.5) while Albany ranks 153rd (5.7).
The Great Danes average 24.1 three pointers per game, which ranks 96th in the country. The Retrievers rank 217th in three pointers allowed per game (25.7).
UMBC ranks 88th in assists per game (14.5) while Albany ranks 202nd in assists allowed per game (15.3).
The Retrievers rank 41st in blocks allowed per game (2.7) while the Great Danes rank 128th (3.9).
Bettings Trends:
The Great Danes’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.4, up from 4.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Retrievers have scored an average of 70.8 points per game (1.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 57.8 points per game (6.6 below their season average).
^^^^^
