The Atlanta Braves are heading north to face off against their divisional rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Atlanta (+165) is hosting this one as the underdog to Washington (-175) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-110 for both the over and the under). The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -135 for betting the Braves +1.5 runs and +115 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.
The Braves are 52-42 SU and have gone 49-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 13.6 units for moneyline bettors and 2.1 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 48-48 SU and 44-52 ATS. The team’s lost 17.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.2 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Washington games have an over/under record of 38-56-2 so far in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 45-44-4.
The right-handed Anibal Sanchez is projected to start for the visiting Braves. Sanchez is 4-2 with a 2.60 ERA and 62 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Washington this year.
The Nationals are putting the ball in the hands of righty Stephen Strasburg (6-6, 3.46 ERA), who’s got 95 strikeouts and 19 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.09. Strasburg is 1-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 1.84 ERA over two starts against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.56 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.70 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.24, along with a K/9 of 9.04.
The Braves offense has slashed .258/.328/.419 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been paced by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is slashing .323/.389/.488 with 10 home runs, 61 RBIs and 55 runs scored. Freeman (.315/.405/.533) has produced 16 homers, 61 RBIs and 59 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Washington’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.64 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In 37 games against divisional foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.27.
The Washington hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .241/.315/.367 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the charge for the Nationals’ batters this year. Turner is slashing .267/.343/.402 with 11 home runs, 39 RBIs, 55 runs and 22 stolen bases, and Rendon’s line sits at .285/.352/.526 with 15 homers, 45 RBIs and 44 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 9.6 units and are 36-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 30 of those games, as opposed to 32 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 3.0 units and are 34-34 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 26 of those games, as opposed to 41 which went under the total.
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in five of Washington’s last seven games.
The Atlanta defense has allowed four errors over its last five games, compared to zero errors for Washington over its last five.
The Braves have hit four home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
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