Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants Odds
Cincinnati (+130) is the underdog against San Francisco (-140) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Reds +1.5 runs and +150 for the Giants -1.5 runs.
The Giants are 22-21 SU and 26-16 ATS. They’ve gained 4.4 units for moneyline bettors and 7.0 units against the spread (ATS). San Francisco has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Reds have gone 14-29 SU this year and are 23-19 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 10.8 units for moneyline bettors through the early portions of the season and 1.4 units ATS. Cincinnatihas covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
San Francisco games have an over/under record of 22-20 so far in 2018. The Reds have an over/under record of 19-23.
The right-handed Matt Harvey is projected to start for the visiting Reds. Harvey is 0-2 with a 6.10 ERA and 22 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Giants are planning to start lefty Andrew Suarez (1-2, 4.57 ERA), who has 23 strikeouts and four walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.20. Suarez did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
As a unit, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.39, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 4.19 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.
The San Francisco hitters have put up 4.1 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .310/.365/.500 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Buster Posey have led the Giants’ hitters so far. Belt is hitting .298/.405/.546 with eight home runs, 22 RBIs and 23 runs scored, and Posey’s line is .310/.375/.434 with 40 hits, 15 RBIs and 17 runs.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.37 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.09 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.17, along with a K/9 of 9.11.
Reds hitters have slashed .246/.326/.385 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Cincinnati’s offense has been powered by first baseman Joey Votto and third baseman Eugenio Suarez, who collectively have launched 13 home runs. Votto is slashing .289/.412/.443 with six home runs, 23 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Suarez (.297/.376/.594) has produced seven homers, 30 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .260/.367/.461, Suarez did not perform especially well in away games in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .248/.353/.340 across 334 plate appearances.
The Reds have lost 1.8 units and are 6-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have lost 2.8 units and are 13-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 14 that went under the total.
Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
San Francisco has recorded 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 28.2 over its last five.
The Reds have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
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