The Detroit Tigers will be taking on their division rival Minnesota Twins at Target Field. The matchup will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports North to catch the action.
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Odds
The Twins are 81-75 against the spread (ATS), but just 73-84 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 12.7 units for moneyline bettors while earning 1.9 units (ATS). The Tigers, on the other hand, have gone 64-94 SU this year and are 81-76 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 6.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.0 units ATS.
Minnesota games have a 76-77-3 over/under record in 2018. The Tigers have been a good under bet with a total record of 67-82-8.
Francisco Liriano will get the start for the visiting Tigers. The southpaw Liriano is 5-11 with a 4.40 ERA and 105 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with four strikeouts and a 9.45 ERA against Minnesota this year (two starts).
The Twins are planning to start lefty Gabriel Moya (3-1, 4.72 ERA), who has 30 strikeouts and 13 walks, as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Moya is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA across three starts against Detroit this year.
Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.55 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.39 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.42, along with a K/9 of 7.88.
The Tigers offense has slashed .242/.302/.381 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario have led Detroit’s offense. Castellanos is hitting .300/.356/.500 with 22 home runs, 87 RBIs and 85 runs scored. Candelario has a .226 average with 19 homers, 53 RBIs and 76 runs scored.
For the home team, Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.59, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.52 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 71 divisional games, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.25.
Minnesota’s hitters have put up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .273/.333/.420 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Twins’ hitters have been led by outfielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer. Rosario is hitting .288/.323/.479 with 24 home runs, 77 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Mauer’s line sits at .277/.347/.374 with six homers, 46 RBIs and 58 runs.
The Tigers have gained 6.0 units and are 24-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 7.2 units and are 21-22 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve cashed the under.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in four of Detroit’s last seven games.
Detroit has recorded 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.0 over its last five.
The Tigers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 12 over their last 10.
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