The Houston Rockets (0-1) square off with the Golden State Warriors (1-0) at Toyota Center in game two of the Western Conference Finals. The game will air on TNT at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May 16, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 224.5 points with Houston opening as a 1-point favorite.
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets Betting Prediction
In game one, the Rockets lost 119-106, unable to cover as 2-point favorites. Harden scored a game-high 41 points and also had seven assists. The game finished with a total of 225 points, which was just 0.5 points below the projected point total of 225.5 points. The Warriors knocked down 22 of their 25 free throws (88.0 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (9.0 vs. 12.1).
It might turn into a shootout as a pair of the NBA’s premier offenses square off. Houston currently ranks first with 112.8 points per 100 possessions and Golden State is second (112.5). Additionally, the Warriors, who rank 21st in offensive rebounding percentage (21.1 percent), might struggle to get put-back points against the Rockets, who rank third in defensive rebounding percentage (80.3 percent).
Golden State is 67-26 straight up (SU), but they are just 39-51-3 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Warriors games, with 47 unders compared to 45 overs.
Meanwhile, Houston owns records of 73-20 SU and 47-44-2 ATS. Of the Rockets’ 93 games, 52 have finished under the total.
For the playoffs, the Rockets are 1-4 with four unders and one over while the Warriors are 14-10 ATS with 14 unders, nine overs and one push
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Draymond Green (14.8 points, 11.8 rebounds, 10.0 assists, 2.4 steals and 1.6 blocks) has been fantastic for the Warriors while Chris Paul (24.6 points, 7.0 rebounds, 6.2 assists and 2.2 steals) has contributed greatly to the Rockets.
Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Golden State is 21-24-1 ATS with 24 unders and 22 overs.
Houston is 20-27-1 ATS at home with 25 unders, 22 overs and 1 push.
Houston is 36-3 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Golden State is 19-5.
The Warriors are 63-16 when they score more than 100 points, while the Rockets are 70-15.
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.2) while Houston ranks 27th (21.4).
The Rockets rank fifth in steals per game (8.5) while the Warriors rank 28th in steals allowed per game (8.6).
Houston ranks sixth in second chance points allowed per game (11.5) while Golden State ranks 25th (13.4).
The Rockets rank ninth in points off turnovers per game (17.0) while the Warriors rank 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.2).
Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (19.1) while Houston ranks 17th (11.2).
The Rockets rank first in three pointers attempted per game (42.0) while the Warriors rank 16th (29.0).
Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (7.2) while Houston ranks 11th (5.0).
The Warriors rank 22nd in points in the paint per game (43.4) while the Rockets rank 28th (41.0).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Houston is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.8, up from 6.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 107.8 points per game (4.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.2 points per game (0.4 below their season average).
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