The Sacramento Kings (16-34) will try to slow down the league’s top scoring team when they take on the Golden State Warriors (40-11) at Golden 1 Center. The game can be seen on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, February 2, 2018.
Golden State is a 12.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 222 points.
Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings Free Prediction
The Warriors are hoping for a better outcome after their 129-99 loss to the Utah Jazz in their last outing. Utah’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over Golden State. The Jazz had a rate of 10.2 (better than their season average of 13.2), while the Warriors posted a mark of 16.8. Klay Thompson was the top scorer from either team with 27 points on 12-for-17 shooting.
In the Kings’ last game, they were victorious over the New Orleans Pelicans, 114-103. Sacramento out-rebounded New Orleans. The Kings had 14 offensive rebounds and 49 total rebounds, while the Pelicans had two and 36, respectively. With 17 points and 17 rebounds, Kosta Koufos played well for Sacramento.
Sacramento might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they clash against one of the league’s best defenses. Golden State ranks seventh in defensive efficiency, while the Kings rank 30th in offensive efficiency. It will also be a showdown of opposite tempos as the fast-breaking Warriors rank fifth in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Kings rank 25th.
Golden State has a phenomenal 40-11 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 21-28-2 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of the Warriors’ games have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Sacramento owns records of 16-34 SU and 21-26-3 ATS. Games involving the Kings also have a slight tendency to finish over the total (52.0 percent).
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Willie Cauley-Stein recorded 19 points, eight rebounds and six assists and the Kings beat the Warriors 110-106, covering as 12.5-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 216 points, which was 12 points above the projected point total of 204 points. The Kings knocked down 17 of their 21 free throws (81.0 percent) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (28.9 vs. 26.5).
Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Golden State is 12-14 ATS on the road with 15 overs and 11 unders.
At home, Sacramento is 9-12 ATS with 12 overs and 9 unders.
Golden State is 11-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Sacramento is 10-4.
The Warriors are 37-7 when they score more than 100 points, while the Kings are 11-11.
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (30.5) while Sacramento ranks 26th (20.9).
The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (7.9) while the Kings rank 24th (4.1).
Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (21.0) while Sacramento ranks 24th (9.7).
The Kings rank seventh in steals per game (8.2) while the Warriors rank 28th in steals allowed per game (8.8).
Sacramento ranks eighth in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while Golden State ranks 27th (13.5).
The Warriors rank 10th in three pointers attempted per game (29.8) while the Kings rank 28th (22.8).
Golden State ranks 13th in rebounds per game (44.0) while Sacramento ranks 29th (40.3).
The Kings rank 13th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.9) while the Warriors rank 26th (18.3).
Sacramento averages 43.0 points in the paint per game, which ranks 19th in the NBA. Golden State ranks 23rd in points allowed in the paint per game (47.2).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 0-4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Warriors have been outscored by an average of 2.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Golden State has defeated opponents by an average of 8.0 points.
During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 102.6 points per game (4.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 103.0 points per game (3.5 below their season average).
