The UCF Knights (6-2) clash against the Grambling State Tigers (4-4) at CFE Federal Credit Union Arena. The game starts at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 8, 2018, and will air on ESPN 3.
Grambling State Tigers vs. UCF Knights ATS Prediction
In the Tigers’ last matchup, they blew out the Jarvis Christian Bulldogs, 105-68. The Tigers had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.618 vs. 0.362) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (42.1 vs. 30.5). With 17 points on 8-for-13 shooting, Dallas Polk-Hilliard was the top scorer from either team.
The Knights beat the Rider Broncs in their last outing, 84-70. The Knights had a much better free throw rate (0.424 vs. 0.130) and had a much better turnover percentage (12.2 vs. 17.6). With 14 points and 13 rebounds, UCF’s Collin Smith had a good performance.
UCF could dominate on defense as they face off against one of the NCAA’s worst offenses. The Knights rank 22nd in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.453), while Grambling State is 309th in effective field goal percentage (0.476) dating back to last season. This game should be a showdown of conflicting styles. The quick-paced Tigers rank 34th in possessions per game, while the more half-court oriented Knights rank 343rd.
Grambling State Tigers vs. UCF Knights Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – UCF, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Grambling State ranks 46th in steals per game (7.4) while UCF ranks 220th (5.3).
The Tigers rank 34th in rebounds per game (39.1) while the Knights rank 172nd (35.6).
UCF averages 3.9 blocks per game, which ranks 84th in the NCAA. Grambling State ranks 220th in blocks allowed per game (4.3).
Neither of these teams shoot many threes. The Knights are 296th in the country with 17.1 three pointers per game while the Tigers are 312th with 14.9 threes per game.
Grambling State ranks 256th in assists per game (11.7) while UCF ranks 264th (11.2).
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