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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick 05/03/18

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona Diamondbacks are playing host to their division foe Los Angeles Dodgers at Chase Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. ET and the action will be televised on FB.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Los Angeles (+120) is the underdog against Arizona (-130) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -175 for the Dodgers +1.5 runs and +155 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

Predators vs Jets

The Dodgers have gone 13-17 SU this year and are 9-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 13.2 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 21-9 SU and 17-12 ATS. The team has gained 15.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.0 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Arizona games have a 14-14-1 over/under record so far in 2018. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 16-13.

Alex Wood will get the nod for the visiting Dodgers. The left-handed Wood is 0-3 with a 4.11 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Arizona this year (three starts).

The Diamondbacks will turn to lefty Patrick Corbin (4-0, 2.25 ERA) to the mound. Corbin has 55 strikeouts and seven walks to his credit, as well as a 0.75 WHIP. Corbin is 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA over one starts against Los Angeles this year.

As a unit, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.2 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.54, a WHIP of 1.18 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.4. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 1.88, a WHIP of 0.99 and a K/9 of 8.4. In 21 divisional games, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.12 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.34.

Arizona’s offense has produced 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .267/.340/.471 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Diamondbacks’ hitters have been led by outfielders A.J. Pollock and David Peralta. Pollock is hitting .300/.361/.691 with 10 home runs, 25 RBIs, 21 runs and seven steals, and Peralta is hitting .300 with five homers, 17 RBIs and 15 runs.

Pollock seemed to enjoy hitting lefties at home in 2017. Across 73 such plate appearances, he slashed .368/.411/.706 (his overall season line was .268/.333/.475).

For the visiting squad, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.53 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.66 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.53, along with a WHIP of 1.17.

Dodgers hitters have slashed .243/.326/.392 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Los Angeles’ offensive production been powered by catcher Yasmani Grandal and first baseman Cody Bellinger. Grandal is slashing .301/.400/.527 with four home runs, 21 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Bellinger is hitting .287/.341/.478 with four homers, 15 RBIs and 22 runs scored.

Grandal didn’t do as well hitting against lefties on the road last season. Over 48 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .143/.250/.238 (his total season line was .247/.308/.459).

The Dodgers have lost 4.8 units and are 3-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to eight that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 10.9 units and are 9-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in five of those games, compared to seven that went under the total.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The Dodgers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit 16 over their last 10.

Los Angeles has averaged 20 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 15 over its last five.

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