It will be a battle between MAAC opponents when the Siena Saints (5-14, 1-5 MAAC) welcome the Marist Red Foxes (4-13, 2-3 MAAC) to Times Union Center. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 18, 2018.
Siena is a 6.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 146 points.
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints Free Prediction
In the Red Foxes’ last game, they defeated the Fairfield Stags, 95-89. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Marist’s biggest strengths. They had 32 free throw attempts, while Fairfield had 22. Marist rallied around David Knudsen, who was the team’s high scorer with 24 points on 8-for-12 shooting.
The Saints fell to the Manhattan Jaspers in their last outing, 72-61. Manhattan’s 18.7 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Siena, who had a mark of 32.5. The Jaspers’ mark was better than their season average of 21.3, while the Saints’ was above their season average of 18.9. With 19 points on 6-for-15 shooting, Jordan Horn led Siena in scoring.
The physical Marist offense seems poised to dominate from the foul line. The Red Foxes currently rank 50th in the NCAA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.285, while Siena ranks 332nd in FTA rate allowed (0.316).
Marist comes into the game with records of 4-13 straight up (SU) and 5-6 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Red Foxes are involved, as seven of their 11 games have gone over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Siena owns records of 5-14 SU and 5-6 ATS. Unlike Marist, Saints games have typically gone under the total (72.7 percent).
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Knudsen put up 13 points and five steals and the Red Foxes beat the Saints 63-58, covering as 3-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 121 points, which was 27 points below the projected point total of 148 points. Marist had a much better free throw rate (0.625 vs. 0.147). Siena, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.6 vs. 6.3).
Marist Red Foxes at Siena Saints Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Siena, ATS Winner – Siena, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Marist is 3-4 ATS with 5 overs and 2 unders.
Siena is 2-3 ATS at home with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Siena ranks 47th in three pointers allowed per game (19.5) while Marist ranks 240th (25.5).
The Saints average 35.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 141st in the nation. The Red Foxes rank 212th in rebounds allowed per game (37.2).
Marist ranks 19th in blocks allowed per game (2.4) while Siena ranks 88th (3.5).
The Red Foxes rank 220th in assists per game (11.7) while the Saints rank 225th (11.5).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Marist is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Siena is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Red Foxes’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.2, down from 8.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Saints have scored an average of 68.2 points per game (1.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 72.0 points per game (4.4 below their season average).
