The Miami Marlins are ready to play their NL East nemesis Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the action and the game is scheduled to get going at 4:05 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Odds
The Marlins have gone 62-95 SU this year and are 81-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.2 units ATS. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 80-78 SU and 74-83 ATS. They’ve lost 26.3 units for moneyline bettors and 12.8 units ATS.
Washington games have a 73-81-3 over/under record in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 77-74-5.
The left-handed Wei-Yin Chen is projected to start for the visiting Marlins. Chen is 6-11 with a 4.66 ERA and 110 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 5.19 ERA against Washington this year (three starts).
The Nationals are sending Kyle McGowin (0-0, 6.75 ERA) to the mound. McGowin has three strikeouts and zero walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 0.75. McGowin has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not accrue any MLB pitching stats last season.
Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.40 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.66 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.38, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K-per-9 of 7.97.
The Marlins offense has slashed .238/.305/.359 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Miami’s offense has been powered by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .278/.329/.400 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Anderson (.272/.355/.394) has produced 10 homers, 62 RBIs and 85 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.94 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 75 games against NL East opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.19 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.22.
The Washington hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .273/.391/.503 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Nationals’ offense has been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is hitting .271/.344/.412 with 18 home runs, 68 RBIs, 101 runs and 43 stolen bases, while Rendon’s line sits at .312/.378/.540 with 24 homers, 91 RBIs and 87 runs.
The Nationals have lost 20.0 units and are 18-25 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve gone under against lefties.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in four of Washington’s last seven games.
Miami has recorded 20.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.0 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 12 over their last 10.
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