The Miami Marlins are traveling north to PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. This NL showdown starts at 7:05 p.m. ET and you can catch the game on either ATPT or FSFL.
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Miami (+170) is the underdog to Pittsburgh (-180) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at eight runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -130 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +110 for the Pirates -1.5.
The Marlins are 56-84 SU and are 73-67 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.5 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.4 units ATS. Miami’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 69-71 SU and 67-73 ATS. The team’s lost 2.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.8 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Pirates games have had an over/under record of 62-69-9 in 2018. The Marlins have an over/under record of 70-66-4.
Dan Straily will get the nod for Miami. The right-handed Straily is 5-6 with a 4.13 ERA and 95 strikeouts. He has yet to face Pittsburgh this year, but he made two starts against the Pirates in 2017, posting a 0-1 record against them with a 6.75 ERA and eight strikeouts.
The Pirates are turning to righty Chris Archer (4-7, 4.56 ERA), who has 131 strikeouts and 41 walks to his name as well as a 1.41 WHIP. Archer is 0-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA in one start against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.42 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.64 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.27, along with a K-per-9 of 7.98.
Marlins hitters have slashed .241/.308/.362 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game this season, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s hitters. Castro is hitting .286/.337/.409 with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Anderson (.271/.354/.396) is up to 10 homers, 58 RBIs and 76 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 4.04 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.99 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
The Pittsburgh hitters have put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .236/.273/.350 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielders Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson have led the Pirates’ hitters this year. Marte is slashing .278/.322/.456 with 18 home runs, 63 RBIs, 71 runs and 30 stolen bases, and Dickerson’s line is .290/.319/.451 with 11 homers, 46 RBIs and 55 runs.
The Marlins have gained 1.7 units and are 53-53 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 51 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 4.8 units and are 49-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 38 of those games, as opposed to 54 which went under the total.
Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in only one of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
Miami has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.6 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit six over their last 10.
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