The Milwaukee Brewers are paying a visit to Chicago to play their NL Central foe Cubs at Wrigley Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will be airing the matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Odds
The Cubs are 83-59 straight up (SU) and 72-70 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, gaining 2.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.4 units (ATS). Chicago has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Brewers are 82-62 SU and have gone 73-70 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 14.6 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 1.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Chicago games have had an over/under record of 65-74-3 in 2018. The Brewers have an over/under record of 69-70-4.
Wade Miley will get the nod for the visiting Brewers. The left-handed Miley is 3-2 with a 2.12 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Chicago this year.
The Cubs are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Jon Lester (15-5, 3.53 ERA), who has 126 strikeouts and 56 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.32 WHIP. Lester is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.
Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.96, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 3.39 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 63 divisional games, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.91.
The Chicago hitters have produced 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .257/.321/.363 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Cubs’ batters have been led by second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo. Baez is hitting .294/.325/.566 with 30 home runs, 100 RBIs, 89 runs and 21 stolen bases, and Rizzo’s line is .284/.381/.485 with 24 homers, 91 RBIs and 66 runs.
For the visitors, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.97 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.83 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.77, along with a K-per-9 of 10.12.
Brewers hitters have slashed .251/.323/.419 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .316/.381/.557 with 28 home runs, 86 RBIs, 98 runs and 17 stolen bases, while Cain (.306/.399/.428) is up to 10 homers, 35 RBIs, 79 runs and 26 stolen bases.
The Brewers have lost 1.6 units and are 17-20 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 3.0 units and are 16-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Milwaukee has recorded 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. Chicago has 12 XBH over its last five.
The Brewers have won six of their last seven games SU.
Chicago has recorded 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.8 over its last five.
The Brewers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 10 over their last 10.
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