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New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Matchup 07/09/18

Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees are set to face off against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park in the 1 game of their divisional doubleheader. The action will get underway at 4:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Baltimore (+140) as the underdog to New York (-150). The total sits at 10.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -105 or the under for -115. The game’s runline odds stand at -105 for picking the Yankees -1.5 runs and -115 for the Orioles +1.5 runs.

The Orioles are 24-65 straight up (SU) and 33-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 38.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 29.5 units (ATS). Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Yankees have gone 58-29 SU this year and are 47-39 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 10.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 7.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 34-51-3 so far in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 37-46-3.

Left-hander CC Sabathia is projected to start for New York. Sabathia is 6-3 with a 3.02 ERA and 71 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Baltimore this year.

The Orioles are handing the ball to righty Jimmy Yacabonis (0-0, 8.53 ERA), who has six strikeouts and six walks, as well as a WHIP of 2.37. Yacabonis is 0-0 with a 27.00 ERA against New York this year.

As a unit, Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 5.17 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.39 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 32 games against AL East opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.91 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.66.

The Baltimore offense is putting up 3.6 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .222/.282/.353 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ batters have been led by shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones. Machado is hitting .313/.382/.560 with 21 home runs, 60 RBIs, 43 runs and seven stolen bases, while Jones is batting .283 with 10 homers, 33 RBIs and 35 runs.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.90 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.99 K/9. The bullpen has logged an outstanding ERA of just 2.69, along with a WHIP of 1.22.

The Yankees offense has slashed .249/.332/.459 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge continue to lead New York’s hitters. Stanton is slashing .267/.341/.510 with 21 home runs, 51 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Judge (.280/.399/.572) is up to 25 homers, 58 RBIs and 63 runs scored.

The Yankees have lost 2.5 units and are 32-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 8.6 units and are 13-17 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 17 that went under the total.

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in four of New York’s last seven outings.

The Yankees have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 11 over their last 10.

Baltimore has posted 17.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.8 over its last five.

The Yankees have won four of their last five games SU while the Orioles have dropped 13 of their last 14.

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Written by GMS Previews

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