The Texas Rangers will make a road trip to Boston to play the Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network is in line to broadcast this AL matchup and the action gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox Odds
Boston (-210) is the favorite over Texas (+190) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Rangers +1.5 runs (-115) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (-105).
The Red Sox are 62-29 straight up (SU) and 53-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 19.4 units for moneyline bettors and 15.8 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Rangers have gone 40-51 SU this year and are 43-47 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.6 units for moneyline bettors and 7.4 units ATS. Texas is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.
Red Sox games have an over/under record of 43-44-3 thus far in 2018. Texas has an over/under record of 40-43-7.
Mike Minor will get the start for the visiting Rangers. The southpaw Minor is 6-4 with a 4.63 ERA and 74 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Boston this year.
The Red Sox are turning to lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (10-3, 3.84 ERA), who’s got 100 strikeouts and 29 walks to his name as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Rodriguez is 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 7.50 ERA in one start against Texas this year.
Texas’ pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.28 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 6.72 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.52, along with a K/9 of 8.46.
The Rangers offense has slashed .238/.322/.398 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shin-soo Choo and Nomar Mazara continue to lead Texas’ offense. Choo is slashing .293/.399/.504 with 17 home runs, 42 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Mazara is hitting .269 with 15 homers, 56 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.79, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.20 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.
Boston’s offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 6.7 per game over its last 10 games and 9.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .355/.444/.554 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi have led the Red Sox hitters this year. Martinez is hitting .329/.392/.646 with 27 home runs, 74 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Benintendi’s line is .293/.379/.515 with 14 homers, 55 RBIs, 65 runs and 16 stolen bases.
The Rangers have gained 0.9 units and are 15-14 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 0.7 units and are 11-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in nine of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under.
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Texas has logged 13 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 23 XBH over its last five.
Boston has recorded 28.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 35.6 over its last five.
The Rangers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 12 over their last 10.
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