The Boston Red Sox will face off against the New York Yankees at Fenway Park. The action is going to be nationally televised on Fox and the opening pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
The Red Sox are 107-53 straight up (SU) and 93-66 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 33.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.4 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Yankees have gone 99-61 SU this year and are 78-81 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 10.8 units for moneyline bettors and 13.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 74-77-8 in 2018. Yankees games have gone under 78 times, gone over 74 times and pushed on seven occasions.
Lance Lynn will get the nod for the visiting Yankees. The right-handed Lynn is 9-10 with a 4.80 ERA and 157 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.64 ERA against Boston this year (two starts).
The Red Sox will send righty Nathan Eovaldi (6-7, 3.88 ERA) to the mound. Eovaldi has 97 strikeouts and 20 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.14. Eovaldi is 1-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 2.11 ERA over three starts against New York this year.
Boston’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.79 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.69 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 74 games against divisional opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.79 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.22.
The Boston hitters have produced 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .280/.374/.505 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Red Sox hitters have been led by J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts. Martinez is slashing .330/.402/.626 with 42 home runs, 127 RBIs and 109 runs scored, while Betts is hitting .346 with 32 homers, 80 RBIs, 128 runs and 30 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.19 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.36, along with a K-per-9 of 11.36.
The Yankees offense has slashed .249/.333/.452 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton have paced New York’s hitters. Andujar is slashing .296/.328/.525 with 27 home runs, 90 RBIs and 81 runs scored, while Stanton (.263/.341/.501) is up to 37 homers, 98 RBIs and 101 runs scored.
The Yankees have lost 12.7 units and are 59-56 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 55 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 32.4 units and are 74-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 58 of those games, compared to 59 that went under the total.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
New York has tallied 27 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Boston has 25 XBH over its last five.
The Yankees have hit 22 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
Boston has recorded 26.2 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.2 over its last five.
The Yankees have won four of their last five games SU.
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