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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick 09/25/18

Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The streaking Colorado Rockies will go for their fifth consecutive win as they play host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Coors Field. This NL showdown starts at 8:40 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on either ATRM or NSPA.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies Odds

The Rockies are 86-70 straight up (SU) and 80-75 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 15.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.7 units (ATS). Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Phillies have gone 78-78 SU this year and are 71-84 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 5.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.1 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Colorado games have a 64-84-7 over/under record in 2018. Phillies games have gone under 79 times, gone over 70 times and pushed on six occasions.

Vince Velasquez will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Velasquez is 9-11 with a 4.59 ERA and 159 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Colorado this year.

The Rockies are preparing to start righty Chad Bettis (5-2, 5.18 ERA), who has 77 punchouts and 46 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.41. Bettis hasn’t faced the Phillies yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

As a unit, Colorado’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.23 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.66 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The Colorado offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .237/.348/.296 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Rockies’ hitters have been led by right fielder Charlie Blackmon and shortstop Trevor Story. Blackmon is hitting .287/.356/.489 with 27 home runs, 65 RBIs, 112 runs and 12 steals, while Story is batting .289 with 33 homers, 102 RBIs, 82 runs and 26 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.06 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.02, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Phillies offense has slashed .236/.316/.395 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera continue to lead Philadelphia’s hitters. Hernandez is slashing .255/.358/.363 with 14 home runs, 57 RBIs, 88 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Herrera (.256/.313/.424) has produced 22 homers, 68 RBIs and 64 runs scored.

The Phillies have lost 9.4 units and are 54-64 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 52 of those games, compared to 62 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 10.9 units and are 46-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 44 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under.

Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Philadelphia has recorded seven extra-base hits over its last five games. Colorado has eight XBH over its last five.

The Phillies have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Rockies have hit two over their last 10.

The Philadelphia defense has allowed 10 errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Colorado over its last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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