The San Antonio Spurs (45-34) can extend a nine-game home winning streak when they square off with the Portland Trail Blazers (48-31) at AT&T Center. The game is scheduled to begin at 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, April 7, 2018.
Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs Free Prediction
In the Trail Blazers’ last matchup, they were beaten by the Houston Rockets, 96-94. Houston’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Portland. The Rockets had a rate of 0.205 (below their season average of 0.236), while the Trail Blazers posted a mark of 0.106 (below their season average of 0.196). Portland’s Jusuf Nurkic had a solid game, finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds.
The Spurs lost to the Los Angeles Lakers in their last contest, 122-112. Los Angeles’ 0.622 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over San Antonio, who had a mark of 0.479. The Lakers’ mark was above their season average of 0.518. With 23 points, 10 rebounds and six assists, San Antonio’s Dejounte Murray had a solid performance.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, San Antonio should have a substantial edge. The Spurs defense ranks sixth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.506), while the Portland offense is ranked 19th in effective field goal percentage (0.513).
Portland holds records of 48-31 straight up (SU) and 44-28-7 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Trail Blazers have typically finished under the total (55.7 percent).
Meanwhile, San Antonio is 45-34 SU and 40-35-4 ATS. Similarly to Portland, a little over half of Spurs games have finished under the O/U total.
Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Trail Blazers won the most recent matchup 111-110, covering as 1-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 221 points, which was 26.5 points above the projected point total of 194.5 points. Portland had a better turnover percentage (8.5 vs. 13.2). San Antonio, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of making free throws (19-26; 73.1 percent). In the loss, LaMarcus Aldridge recorded a double-double with 30 points and 14 rebounds.
Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Portland is 22-14-3 ATS on the road with 23 unders and 16 overs.
At home, San Antonio is 25-13-1 ATS with 20 unders and 19 overs.
When holding opponents under 100 points, Portland is 25-6 and San Antonio is 31-10.
The Spurs are 35-14 when they reach the century mark, while the Trail Blazers are 43-17.
San Antonio ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Portland ranks 20th (5.1).
The Spurs rank 15th in assists per game (22.9) while the Trail Blazers rank last (19.6).
San Antonio ranks 15th in points off turnovers per game (16.2) while Portland ranks 28th (14.2).
The Trail Blazers rank 19th in three pointers attempted per game (28.1) while the Spurs rank 27th (24.1).
Portland averages 13.5 second chance points per game, which ranks sixth in the league. San Antonio ranks 13th in second chance points allowed per game (12.1).
The Spurs rank 21st in fast break points per game (10.2) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (8.2).
Portland ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (41.8) while San Antonio ranks 10th (43.9).
The Trail Blazers rank fourth in rebounds per game (45.4) while the Spurs rank ninth (44.4).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Portland is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
San Antonio is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Trail Blazers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.2, down from 2.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 106.2 points per game (3.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.6 points per game (6.9 above their season average).
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