The Sacramento State Hornets (6-7, 0-4 BigSky) look to snap their five-game losing streak when they meet the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (4-11, 2-3 BigSky) at Walkup Skydome. The game gets underway at 8:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, January 17, 2019.
Sacramento State Hornets at Northern Arizona Lumberjacks ATS Prediction
In the Hornets’ last matchup, they were topped by the Idaho State Bengals, 72-70. One of Idaho State’s biggest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 13-14 (92.9 percent), while the Hornets were just 7-14 (50.0 percent). Marcus Graves was the game’s leading scorer with 27 points on 10-for-16 shooting.
The Lumberjacks lost a tough one against the Southern Utah Thunderbirds in their last matchup, 84-82. Southern Utah’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Northern Arizona. The Thunderbirds had a rate of 23.5 (below their season average of 26.0), while the Lumberjacks posted a mark of 14.7 (below their season average of 24.6). With 19 points on 8-for-10 shooting, Bernie Andre was the top scorer from either team.
After the Lumberjacks won the sole contest against the Hornets last season, 58-53, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. Northern Arizona did a fantastic job of converting from the charity stripe (19-24; 79.2 percent). Sacramento State, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (12.9 vs. 15.6).
The offense of Northern Arizona will square off against the top-notch defense of Sacramento State. The Lumberjacks currently rank 246th in offensive efficiency, while the Hornets are 48th in defensive efficiency. The Hornets figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.
Sacramento State at Northern Arizona Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Northern Arizona, ATS Winner – Sacramento State, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Sacramento State ranks 27th in three pointers allowed per game (18.8) while Northern Arizona ranks 239th (26.0).
The Hornets average 14.5 assists per game, which ranks 89th in the NCAA. The Lumberjacks rank 207th in assists allowed per game (15.5).
Northern Arizona ranks 18th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while Sacramento State ranks 134th (6.9).
The Hornets rank 128th in rebounds per game (36.1) while the Lumberjacks rank 237th (32.5).
Northern Arizona ranks 48th in blocks allowed per game (2.8) while Sacramento State ranks 133rd (4.1).
Bettings Trends:
The Hornets have been outscored by an average of 13.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Sacramento State has defeated opponents by an average of 2.3 points.
During their last five games, the Lumberjacks have scored an average of 72.4 points per game (0.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 76.8 points per game (2.5 below their season average).
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