Super Bowl MVP: Odds, Analysis and Pick

Super Bowl LIII in Atlanta marks the third straight year the New England Patriots are in the Super Bowl. The Patriots join the 1971-1973 Miami Dolphins and the 1990-1993 Buffalo Bills as the only teams to make the Super Bowl in at least three straight seasons. Their opponent, the Los Angeles Rams, were the preseason favorite to win the NFC. This is a Super Bowl many expected, though not many predicted that both teams would win on the road in their conference championship games … and do so in overtime. The Super Bowl MVP is always a popular prop, so let’s dig in, break down the odds, find somewhere to do some legal online sports betting in the USA and, hopefully, add a little extra cash to our pockets.

 

Tom Brady, New England Patriots

Odds To Win MVP At Super Bowl LIII: -115

The obvious lead choice for Super Bowl MVP is the man who keeps adding to his legacy as — in the opinion of many — the best quarterback of all time. It is hard to argue with the claim. Brady has made nine Super Bowls, which is crazy in itself. He has made nine Super Bowls in 18 seasons, meaning he has played in nearly half of all the Super Bowls played in this century. He engineered another fourth-quarter comeback in the AFC Championship Game and has won a Super Bowl with a fourth-quarter comeback multiple times. He has won a Super Bowl in overtime and has now made three straight Super Bowls, joining Bob Griese and Jim Kelly as the two quarterbacks to pull off that feat. There isn’t much left for him to do but win one more title and claim a sixth Super Bowl victory.

Related: Super Bowl Betting | Super Bowl MVP

In terms of the award, he’s the engine on this team. Someone like Sony Michel might be a good bet if you think the Patriots will pound the rock again but it’s hard to bet this prop, pick someone from New England and not bet Brady.

Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams

Odds To Win MVP At Super Bowl LIII: +200

The quarterbacks simply have the inside edge in Super Bowl MVP races. This is the most important position in football, and football has become a much more pass-heavy game over the years. More importantly, quarterbacks have won the award in seven of the last nine seasons.

Nick Foles was the unlikely Super Bowl MVP last season and now Goff could be the same. If the Rams win, chances are they will outscore the Patriots in a shootout. If that happens, Goff would likely be the winner. If anyone on the Rams is going to win, Goff has to be the first choice. Something could happen where a defensive player returns an interception for a winning touchdown or maybe Aaron Donald wrecks a few things to become MVP but those are simply fliers (in terms of betting). However, the quarterback is always the first percentage-based bet to make on MVPs in Super Bowls.

Rob Gronkowski, New England Patriots

Odds To Win MVP At Super Bowl LIII: +2000

The man who is the matchup problem no opponent can solve would figure to be the Patriots’ second-best choice for Super Bowl MVP. Gronk is simply a special player, one of the most versatile tight ends to ever play pro football. Julian Edelman is also worthy of consideration for the Patriots, but do the Rams have a Gronk-stopper? They have two cornerbacks in Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib that will be shadowing Edelman. Their safety play is a little bit more suspect. This team allowed the ninth-most fantasy points to tight ends. Maybe Gronk is a problem and wins the MVP.

Robert Woods, Los Angeles Rams

Odds To Win MVP At Super Bowl LIII: +2500

The equivalent of Gronk on the Rams’ side is Woods. You might think Todd Gurley is the better MVP choice, but you had to have noticed how Gurley had a diminished and limited role in the NFC Championship Game against the New Orleans Saints. He’s not fully healthy.

The Rams will likely need to hit big plays in the passing game to win, and that means their offense will have to go through Woods as a primary target. The Patriots know Brandin Cooks quite well and they should be able to stop him with Stephon Gilmore. Woods is a reliable safety valve who could rack up enough catches and earn the acclaim.

Pick: Tom Brady

Super Bowl LIII MVP Odds

Tom Brady (Patriots) +110
Jared Goff (Rams) +250
Todd Gurley (Rams) +1550
C. J. Anderson (Rams) +1800
Aaron Donald (Rams) +1950
Sony Michel (Patriots) +2000
James White (Patriots) +2500
Julian Edelman (Patriots) +3300
Robert Woods (Rams) +4000
Brandin Cooks (Rams) +4000
Rob Gronkowski (Patriots) +5000
Dante Fowler Jr. (Rams) +7500
Aquib Talib (Rams) +8000
Rex Burkhead (Patriots) +8000
Chris Hogan (Patriots) +10000
Cory Littleton (Rams) +10000
Trey Flowers (Patriots) +10000
Adrian Clayborn (Patriots) +10000
Josh Reynolds (Rams) +10000
Kyle Van Noy (Patriots) +12500
Greg Zuerlein (Rams) +12500
Ndamukong Suh (Rams) +12500
Dont’a Hightower (Patriots) +15000
Marcus Peters (Rams) +15000
John Johnson (Rams) +15000
Michael Brockers (Rams) +15000
Stephen Gostkowski (Patriots) +15000
Stephon Gilmore (Patriots) +15000
Cordarelle Patterson (Patriots) +15000
Brandon King (Patriots) +15000
Gerald Everett (Rams) +20000
Dwayne Allen (Patriots) +25000
Sam Shields (Rams) +25000
Nickell Robey-Coleman (Rams) +25000
Patrick Chung (Patriots) +25000
Phillip Dorsett (Patriots) +25000
Lamarcus Joyner (Rams) +25000
Tyler Higbee (Rams) +25000
Malcolm Brown (Rams) +25000
Matt Longacre (Rams) +25000
Mark Barron (Rams) +25000
Deatrich Wise Jr. (Patriots) +27500
Lawrence Guy (Patriots) +27500
Devin McCourty (Patriots) +27500
Elandon Roberts (Patriots) +30000
James Develin (Patriots) +50000
John Kelly (Rams) +50000
Matthew Slater (Patriots) +50000
JoJo Natson (Rams) +50000
John Marshall Kelly Jr (Rams) +50000
Johnny Mundt (Rams) +50000
Justin Davis (Rams) +50000
Khadarel Hodge (Rams) +50000
Stephen Anderson (Patriots) +50000
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About Geoff Harvey

Geoff Harvey has been creating odds and betting models since his days in the womb, just don't ask him how he used to get his injury reports back then. Harvey contributes a wealth of quality and informational content that is a valuable resource for any handicapper.

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Super Bowl MVP: Odds, Analysis and Pick
Article Name
Super Bowl MVP: Odds, Analysis and Pick
Description
The Super Bowl MVP is always a popular prop, so let's dig in and break down the odds.
Author
GetMoreSports.com
GetMoreSports

About Geoff Harvey

mm
Geoff Harvey has been creating odds and betting models since his days in the womb, just don't ask him how he used to get his injury reports back then. Harvey contributes a wealth of quality and informational content that is a valuable resource for any handicapper.

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