It will be a battle between SEC opponents when the LSU Tigers (11-4, 2-1 SEC) welcome the Alabama Crimson Tide (10-6, 2-2 SEC) to Pete Maravich Assembly Center. The game will air on SEC Network at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 13, 2018.
LSU is a 4-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 149 points.
Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers Betting Prediction
The last time the Crimson Tide played, they beat the South Carolina Gamecocks, 76-62. Alabama couldn’t miss, shooting 58.8 percent from the field. South Carolina, on the other hand, had a field goal percentage of 35.8. Alabama received a boost from Donta Hall, who finished with 13 points and seven rebounds.
The Tigers had no trouble getting past the Arkansas Razorbacks in their last game, 75-54. The Tigers held the Razorbacks to an effective field goal percentage of 0.368 (below their season average of 0.569) and had a turnover percentage of 12.4 (better than their season average of 15.0). Aaron Epps was LSU’s leading scorer with 13 points on 5-for-7 shooting.
This matchup pits one of the NCAA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses as LSU currently ranks 16th in effective field goal percentage (0.575) and Alabama is 35th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.462).
Alabama heads into the game with records of 10-6 straight up (SU) and 7-7-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to set the total high when the Crimson Tide are involved, as 57.1 percent of their games have finished under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, LSU is 11-4 SU and 7-3-2 ATS. Much like Alabama, Tigers games also have typically finished under the O/U total (58.3 percent).
After the Crimson Tide won both matchups against the Tigers last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent matchup, Alabama won 90-72. The Crimson Tide had a much better turnover percentage (12.4 vs. 19.1) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (41.9 vs. 33.3).
Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – LSU, ATS Winner – LSU, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Alabama is 4-4 ATS on the road with 5 overs and 3 unders.
At home, LSU is 3-1-2 ATS with 3 overs and 3 unders.
LSU ranks 47th in rebounds allowed per game (32.1) while Alabama ranks 190th (36.8).
The Tigers rank 106th in three pointers attempted per game (23.1) while the Crimson Tide rank 225th (18.9).
Alabama ranks ninth in blocks per game (6.3) while LSU ranks 92nd (3.6).
The Tigers average 7.4 steals per game, which ranks 52nd in the NCAA. The Crimson Tide rank 86th in steals allowed per game (6.2).
LSU ranks 58th in assists per game (15.7) while Alabama ranks 64th in assists allowed per game (12.0).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Alabama is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
LSU is 3-0-1 ATS with 4 unders over their last five games.
The Crimson Tide have scored an equal number of points as their opponents. For the season, Alabama has defeated opponents by an average of 4.9 points.
During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 78.0 points per game (4.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 61.8 points per game (10.0 below their season average).
