The New York Mets will play host to the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will broadcast the matchup.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Odds
Atlanta (+140) is entering this one as the underdog to New York (-150) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 7 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -155 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +135 for the Mets -1.5.
The Braves are 88-68 SU and are 80-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 22.1 units for moneyline bettors and 1.9 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 73-83 SU and 78-77 ATS. They’ve lost 9.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.4 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Mets games have an over/under record of 68-78-9 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 75-74-6.
The right-handed Touki Toussaint will get the nod for Atlanta. Toussaint is 2-1 with a 4.30 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets will be sending righty Noah Syndergaard (12-4, 3.36 ERA) to the mound. Syndergaard has 144 punchouts and 37 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Syndergaard is 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA across two starts against Atlanta this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.70, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 70 games against NL East foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.60 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.95.
The New York hitters have put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .223/.327/.343 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ batters have been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto. Rosario is hitting .261/.299/.391 with nine home runs, 50 RBIs, 76 runs and 22 stolen bases, and Conforto is hitting .242 with 27 homers, 80 RBIs and 74 runs.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.57 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.57 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.11, along with a K/9 of 8.83.
Braves hitters have slashed .258/.328/.422 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been paced by first baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis, who have combined to launch 37 home runs. Freeman is slashing .311/.389/.506 with 23 home runs, 95 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Markakis is hitting .301/.368/.449 with 14 homers, 93 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 24.7 units and are 62-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 52 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 2.6 units and are 58-56 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 52 of those games, compared to 56 that went under.
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.
The Braves have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit nine over their last 10.
New York has recorded 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.0 over its last five.
The Mets have won three of their last four games SU.
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