The Brooklyn Nets (20-44) travel to Golden State to take on the Warriors (49-14) in what should be a fast-paced game. The game will air on YES Network at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 6, 2018.
Golden State is a 14-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 230 points.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction
In the Nets’ last game, they were topped by the Los Angeles Clippers, 123-120. Los Angeles was successful at getting to and converting from the free throw line. The Clippers made 25 of their 30 free throws (83.3 percent), while the Nets were 21-23 (91.3 percent). Caris LeVert was Brooklyn’s high scorer with 27 points on 11-for-19 shooting.
The Warriors defeated the Atlanta Hawks in their last matchup, 114-109. Golden State’s 0.241 free throw rate was their largest strength over Atlanta, who had a rate of 0.209. The Warriors’ mark was above their season average of 0.203. With 28 points and five assists, Golden State’s Kevin Durant played well.
Golden State could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their prolific offense goes up against one of the NBA’s worst defenses. The Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency, while Brooklyn ranks 23rd in defensive efficiency.
Although Brooklyn has difficulty winning games straight up (20-44 SU), they have a respectable 36-27-1 record against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Nets games, with 35 unders compared to 29 overs.
Golden State has a superb 49-14 SU record, but they have a hard time covering the spread (27-33-3 ATS). Unlike Brooklyn, games involving the Warriors have finished over the total 52.4 percent of the time.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Stephen Curry scored a game-high 39 points in the first game, in which the Warriors defeated the Nets 118-111 but did not cover as 11.5-point favorites. He also put up 11 rebounds and seven assists. The game finished with a total of 229 points, which was just 0.5 points above the projected point total of 228.5 points. Golden State’s 0.567 effective field goal percentage was its largest strength over Brooklyn, who had a rate of 0.442.
Brooklyn Nets at Golden State Warriors Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Brooklyn is 20-13 ATS on the road with 17 unders and 16 overs.
Golden State is 13-16-2 ATS at home with 16 overs and 15 unders.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Golden State is 13-2 and Brooklyn is 12-1.
When scoring more than 100 points, the Nets are 16-29 and the Warriors are 46-10.
Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.5) while Brooklyn ranks 28th (5.7).
The Warriors rank seventh in rebounds allowed per game (41.9) while the Nets rank last (46.5).
Golden State ranks eighth in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while Brooklyn ranks last (14.3).
The Warriors rank ninth in steals per game (8.2) while the Nets rank last (6.2).
Brooklyn averages 12.9 second chance points per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Golden State ranks last in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
The Warriors rank first in fast break points per game (20.5) while the Nets rank 18th (10.3).
Brooklyn ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (24.7) while Golden State ranks 14th (29.2).
The Warriors rank first in assists per game (30.5) while the Nets rank 12th (23.1).
Brooklyn ranks 15th in points in the paint per game (43.8) while Golden State ranks 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.1).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Brooklyn is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Golden State is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Nets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.4, down from 4.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 118.8 points per game (2.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 105.6 points per game (2.0 below their season average).
