The New Orleans Pelicans (36-26) will try to continue their eight-game winning streak against the Los Angeles Clippers (34-28) at Staples Center. The game can be seen on TNT at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 6, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 237.5 points with Los Angeles set as a 3-point favorite.
New Orleans Pelicans at Los Angeles Clippers Betting Prediction
The last time the Pelicans played, they defeated the Dallas Mavericks, 126-109. New Orleans’ effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Dallas. The Pelicans had a rate of 0.604 (above their season average of 0.542), while the Mavericks posted a mark of 0.500. Anthony Davis played a key role for New Orleans with 23 points and 13 rebounds.
The Clippers won a close one over the Brooklyn Nets in their last contest, 123-120. The Clippers knocked down 25 of their 30 free throws (83.3 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 9.3 (better than their season average of 12.9). With 17 points and 15 rebounds, Los Angeles’ DeAndre Jordan played well.
Los Angeles appears to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Clippers currently rank seventh in offensive efficiency, while New Orleans ranks 18th in defensive efficiency.
New Orleans holds records of 36-26 straight up (SU) and 34-28 against the spread (ATS). Pelicans games tend to go over the projected point total (62.9 percent).
Meanwhile, Los Angeles owns records of 34-28 SU and 35-26-1 ATS. Games involving the Clippers have finished over the total 53.2 percent of the time.
Davis and Jrue Holiday have played well over the last five games for New Orleans. Davis has averaged 38.6 points, 15.6 rebounds, 2.8 blocks and 2.6 steals per game. Not to be outdone, Holiday has recorded 26.8 points, 7.2 assists, 5.2 rebounds and 1.6 steals a game during that span.
The two teams have split their two matchups this season. The Clippers won the most recent matchup 112-103, covering as 2-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 215 points, which was 11 points below the projected point total of 226 points. The Clippers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (21.6 vs. 15.2) and had a better turnover percentage (10.4 vs. 13.5). Blake Griffin put up a double-double in the victory with 27 points and 12 rebounds.
New Orleans Pelicans at Los Angeles Clippers ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, New Orleans is 21-12 ATS with 17 overs and 16 unders.
Los Angeles is 15-16 ATS at home with 17 overs, 13 unders and 1 push.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Los Angeles is 11-2 and New Orleans is 8-1.
When scoring above 100 points, the Pelicans are 34-18 and the Clippers are 32-18.
Los Angeles ranks third in points in the paint per game (50.5) while New Orleans ranks 26th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.4).
The Pelicans average 14.0 fast break points per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Clippers rank last in fast break points allowed per game (15.1).
New Orleans ranks third in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while Los Angeles ranks 24th (5.3).
The Clippers average 13.1 second chance points per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Pelicans rank 28th in second chance points allowed per game (13.6).
New Orleans ranks second in assists per game (26.4) while Los Angeles ranks 21st in assists allowed per game (24.0).
The Clippers average 16.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 13th in the league. The Pelicans rank 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.7).
Los Angeles ranks 14th in steals per game (8.0) while New Orleans ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
The Clippers average 43.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 25th in rebounds allowed per game (45.1).
Los Angeles averages 28.4 three pointers per game, which ranks 18th in the league. New Orleans ranks 27th in three pointers allowed per game (30.8).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, New Orleans is 4-1 ATS with 5 overs.
Los Angeles is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games.
The Pelicans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.8, up from 0.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 118.6 points per game (9.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.4 points per game (5.4 above their season average).
