The Brooklyn Nets (23-48) meet the Charlotte Hornets (30-41) at Barclays Center. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 21, 2018, and will air on YES Network.
Charlotte opened as a 1-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 223 points.
Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets Free Prediction
The Hornets are trying to rebound after their 108-94 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers in their last contest. Philadelphia’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The 76ers had more offensive rebounds (17 vs. seven), defensive rebounds (43 vs. 33) and total rebounds (60 vs. 40). Kemba Walker was Charlotte’s leading scorer with 24 points on 8-for-19 shooting.
In the Nets’ last matchup, they won a close one over the Memphis Grizzlies, 118-115. One of Brooklyn’s biggest advantages was getting to the free throw line. They had 40 free throw attempts, 20 more than Memphis. With 16 points and 12 rebounds, Brooklyn’s Rondae Hollis-Jefferson had a good outing.
It could be a difficult game for Brooklyn on the offensive glass. The Nets rank 16th in offensive rebounding percentage (21.9 percent), while Charlotte ranks first in defensive rebounding percentage (80.9 percent). The Hornets should be expected to protect the ball well. They rank 2nd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.1 percent). Conversely, the Nets force the fewest turnovers in the NBA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 11.8 percent).
Charlotte comes into the game with records of 30-41 straight up (SU) and 28-39-4 against the spread (ATS). Hornets games have gone over the projected point total 50.7 percent of the time.
Brooklyn has a solid record ATS (40-30-1), despite being 23-48 SU. Unlike Charlotte, Nets games have finished under the total 53.5 percent of the time.
Hollis-Jefferson has averaged 18.6 points, 8.0 rebounds and 3.2 assists over the last five games for Brooklyn.
The two teams have split their two matchups this season. The Nets won the most recent matchup 125-111, covering as 8-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 236 points, which was 19 points above the projected point total of 217 points. The Nets had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (23.1 vs. 15.0) and had a better turnover percentage (9.0 vs. 11.7). Hollis-Jefferson recorded a double-double with 18 points and 12 rebounds.
Charlotte Hornets vs. Brooklyn Nets Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Hornets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Charlotte is 12-20-3 ATS with 17 overs, 17 unders and 1 push.
At home, Brooklyn is 17-17-1 ATS with 20 unders and 15 overs.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Charlotte is 10-3 and Brooklyn is 12-1.
When scoring more than 100 points, the Nets are 19-32 and the Hornets are 29-19.
Charlotte ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (10.3) while Brooklyn ranks 26th (13.5).
The Hornets average 44.9 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Nets rank 28th in rebounds allowed per game (46.3).
Charlotte ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.2) while Brooklyn ranks 24th (17.6).
The Nets rank second in three pointers attempted per game (35.1) while the Hornets rank 22nd (26.9).
Brooklyn ranks eighth in assists allowed per game (21.7) while Charlotte ranks 25th (24.7).
The Hornets rank second in steals allowed per game (6.4) while the Nets rank 16th (7.8).
Brooklyn ranks 18th in fast break points per game (10.5) while Charlotte ranks 27th (9.3).
The Hornets rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (5.0) while the Nets rank 27th (5.6).
Charlotte averages 43.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks 21st in the league. Brooklyn ranks 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (46.5).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Charlotte is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Hornets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.4, up from 0.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 109.4 points per game (3.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.4 points per game (5.0 above their season average).
*****
