The No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (31-7) go head-to-head against the No. 9 Florida State Seminoles (23-11) in the Elite Eight at Staples Center. The game is scheduled to get underway at 8:49 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 24, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 143 points with Michigan set as a 4.5-point favorite.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Michigan Wolverines ATS Prediction
In the Sweet 16, the Seminoles topped the No. 4 Gonzaga Bulldogs, 75-60. Florida State’s 0.517 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Gonzaga, who had a rate of 0.381. The Seminoles’ mark was below their season average of 0.537, while the Bulldogs’ was below their season average of 0.575. Florida State was lifted by Terance Mann, who was the game’s leading scorer with 18 points on 8-for-13 shooting.
The Wolverines dismantled the No. 7 Texas A&M Aggies in the Sweet 16, 99-72. The Wolverines had 12 steals, while the Aggies had a free throw rate of 0.075 (below their season average of 0.216). Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman was the top scorer from either team with 24 points on 9-for-16 shooting.
It might turn into a shootout as a pair of the NCAA’s best offenses battle. Michigan ranks 31st with 113.7 points per 100 possessions and Florida State is 59th (111.7). It will also be a showdown of opposite styles as the fast-paced Seminoles rank 49th in possessions per game, while the more methodical Wolverines rank 331st.
Florida State holds records of 23-11 straight up (SU) and 16-13-3 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to set the total low when the Seminoles are involved, as 56.3 percent of their games have gone over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Michigan is 31-7 SU and 24-13 ATS. Games involving the Wolverines have gone over the O/U total 51.4 percent of the time.
Trent Forrest has averaged 13.6 points, 6.0 rebounds, 5.0 assists and 2.4 steals over the last five games for Florida State.
Florida State Seminoles vs. Michigan Wolverines Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Michigan, ATS Winner – Michigan, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Michigan ranks seventh in three pointers allowed per game (16.4) while Florida State ranks 205th (22.9).
The Seminoles rank 67th in rebounds per game (37.8) while the Wolverines rank 255th (33.4).
Florida State ranks 14th in blocks per game (5.3) while Michigan ranks 154th (3.1).
The Wolverines rank third in steals allowed per game (4.1) while the Seminoles rank 98th (5.8).
Michigan ranks 14th in assists allowed per game (10.3) while Florida State ranks 90th (12.5).
Bettings Trends:
The Seminoles’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.8, down from 7.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wolverines have scored an average of 74.8 points per game (0.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 62.4 points per game (0.9 below their season average).
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