In the deadest of dead NFL times, if you’re feeling a little lost at sea, you are not alone. We can all then feel a little better by taking an early look at the Week 1 lines and totals to at least mitigate that feeling. We’re all just trying our best to enjoy the summer as it is.
Sunday, Sept. 9
Houston Texans at New England Patriots (-7, O/U: 51)
If we’re looking at potential upsets, I’m really digging this one. I’m not sure I’ve got the stones to predict it just yet. I certainly feel a lot better about the Giants knocking off the Jaguars in New Jersey. The Patriots have a tendency to get caught flat-footed early, even in Super Bowl seasons. The Kansas City Chiefs have made a habit of embarrassing them in September, only to see New England blow past them come playoff time. The Pats could go on and win 13 games and still drop this one to a fresh and never-before-seen Deshaun Watson by two touchdowns. Needless to say, I like the over.
Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins (+2, O/U: 46)
This line has moved half a point in Tennessee’s direction over the last month and before Week 1, it might actually flip. If you like the Titans, and I certainly do, then you need to jump early because by the time people get a look at this team in the preseason, they’ll be believers. This total will move to 50.
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers (-3, O/U: 47)
Looking deep into this line, a -3 for a home team is basically an even match up when the oddsmakers throw it together. Is this game even? Talent-wise, it shouldn’t be close. The Chiefs are in a soft rebuild and plugging in second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes. The Chargers are led by Phillip Rivers, a Top 10 NFL QB, with a plethora of Pro Bowl-Caliber weapons at his disposal. They also have a solid defense. This line should be a touchdown. Why isn’t it? Andy Reid vs. Anthony Lynn. I wouldn’t even look at this one until after Week 3 of the preseason.
It’s July, so that means it’s time for the annual ritual of national sports media picking the Chargers to win the AFC west.
— Andy Reid (@Chief_Walrus) July 17, 2018
Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos (-2, O/U: 44)
This line moved up half a point and the total pushed from 42.5 to 44 after Kam Chancellor announced his retirement. Like the Chiefs, the Seahawks are in a soft rebuild. Unlike the Seahawks, they aren’t replacing their quarterback. They have one of the best in the game in Russell Wilson. Denver, on the other hand, has been floundering since Peyton Manning retired at that same position. They have a Super Bowl-ready roster, but haven’t put a competent quarterback on the field in two years. Is free agent acquisition Case Keenum that guy? If he plays like he did in Minnesota last year, they’re at worst AFC West champions and headed for a deep playoff run. Since this one is at Denver, this line will only move their way so if you like Case and them boys, you might as well pull the trigger now.
To be continued in Part 3.
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- Gronkowski Brothers: NFL Division Picks - August 16, 2018
- Gronkowski Brothers: NFL Season Win Total Picks - August 15, 2018
- NFL Preseason Betting: Jets at Redskins - August 13, 2018
- Chicago Bears vs. Baltimore Ravens: NFL Preseason Hall of Fame Game - July 30, 2018
- Is It Too Early to Look at NFL Week 1 Odds? Part 3 - July 18, 2018
- Is It Too Early to Look at NFL Week 1 Odds? Part 2 - July 18, 2018
- Is It Too Early to Look at NFL Week 1 Odds? Part 1 - July 15, 2018
- Is this Bill Belichick’s Final Year in New England? - July 8, 2018
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