The Memphis Grizzlies (2-1) travel to Sacramento to take on the Kings (1-3) in a game that will likely be low scoring. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 24, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.
Memphis opened as a 2-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 220 points.
Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings ATS Prediction
The Grizzlies will be looking for a similar outcome after beating the Utah Jazz in their last outing, 92-84, as 11-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (176) came in well under the projected point total of 213.5. The Grizzlies had a better turnover percentage (9.5 vs. 14.0) and had a better free throw rate (0.250 vs. 0.220). Memphis was lifted by Marc Gasol, who had 18 points and 13 rebounds.
The last time the Kings played, they were beaten by the Denver Nuggets, 126-112. They were unable to cover as 10.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (238) were well over the projected point total of 222.5. Denver’s rebounding was their largest strength. The Nuggets had 15 offensive rebounds and 49 total rebounds, while the Kings had nine and 39, respectively. With 20 points on 9-for-11 shooting, Marvin Bagley III was the game’s leading scorer.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams clash. Sacramento ranks 28th in possessions per game (97.7) and Memphis is 29th (97.1) since last season.
The Grizzlies have had records of 24-61 straight up (SU) and 45-46 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Vegas has been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Memphis games since last season with 46 overs compared to 45 unders.
Meanwhile, the Kings, are 28-58 SU and 42-40-3 ATS since last season. Sacramento’s games have had a slight tendency to go under the projected point total over that same stretch (54.1 percent).
The Grizzlies won two out of three matchups against the Kings last season. In the last matchup, Sacramento won 94-93. Sacramento had a better effective field goal percentage (0.506 vs. 0.476). Memphis, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (13-18; 72.2 percent).
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Sacramento Kings Pick
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Memphis is 14-12 and Sacramento is 18-7.
The Grizzlies are 18-23 when they score over 100 points, while the Kings are 18-24.
Memphis ranks 12th in three pointers allowed per game (29.0) while Sacramento ranks 29th (31.5).
The Kings rank 15th in points in the paint per game (44.4) while the Grizzlies rank 25th (42.0).
Sacramento averages 7.8 steals per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Memphis ranks 20th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
The Kings rank 18th in fast break points allowed per game (12.7) while the Grizzlies rank 27th (14.4).
Memphis ranks 17th in blocks per game (4.8) while Sacramento ranks 25th (4.2).
The Grizzlies rank seventh in points off turnovers per game (17.1) while the Kings rank 12th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.8).
Memphis ranks 20th in second chance points per game (11.7) while Sacramento ranks 25th (11.3).
The Kings rank 28th in rebounds per game (40.9) while the Grizzlies rank 29th (40.4).
Sacramento ranks 25th in assists per game (21.7) while Memphis ranks 26th (21.6).
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