The San Diego Padres will take on the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. This NL matchup will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports San Diego.
San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Cincinnati (-140) is favored over San Diego (+130) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Padres +1.5 runs (-170) and Reds -1.5 runs (+150).
The Reds are 80-62 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 61-82 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 10.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.6 units (ATS). The Padres, on the other hand, are 56-88 SU and have gone 68-75 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 14.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 28.5 units ATS.
Cincinnati games have a 73-65-4 over/under record in 2018. The Padres have an over/under record of 67-71-5.
The right-handed Jacob Nix is getting the nod for the visiting Padres. Nix is 2-3 with a 4.85 ERA and 11 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Reds are handing the ball to righty Tyler Mahle (7-9, 4.95 ERA), who has 105 strikeouts and 50 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.56. Mahle is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.19 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.
The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .258/.326/.440 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza have led the charge for the Reds’ batters this year. Gennett is slashing .317/.364/.507 with 22 home runs, 84 RBIs and 82 runs scored, and Peraza’s line sits at .289/.329/.408 with 10 homers, 49 RBIs, 75 runs and 20 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.15 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.57, along with a K/9 of 10.03.
The Padres offense has slashed .235/.298/.379 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis continue to lead San Diego’s hitters. Hosmer is hitting .252/.318/.397 with 15 home runs, 61 RBIs and 65 runs scored, while Galvis (.235/.291/.357) has produced 11 homers, 58 RBIs and 51 runs scored.
The Padres have gained 1.0 units and are 52-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 42 of those games, as opposed to 53 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 12.6 units and are 57-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 52 of those games, as opposed to 49 which went under the total.
San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
The Padres have lost three of their last four games SU.
San Diego has posted 20.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.0 over its last five.
The Padres have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 13 over their last 10.
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