The Sacramento Kings (2-3) take on the Washington Wizards (1-3) at Golden 1 Center. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, October 26, 2018, and will air on NBATV.
Washington opened as a 4.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 237.5 points.
Washington Wizards at Sacramento Kings Free Prediction
The Wizards failed to cover as 10.5-point underdogs in their 144-122 loss to the Golden State Warriors in their last matchup. The game’s total points (266) finished well over the O/U total of 236. Golden State’s 27.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Washington, who had a mark of 15.6. The Warriors’ mark was above their season average of 22.8, while the Wizards’ was below the 26.3 mark opponents have averaged against Golden State this season. Bradley Beal led Washington in scoring with 23 points on 10-for-15 shooting.
In the Kings’ last game, they beat the Memphis Grizzlies, 97-92, despite being 3-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (189) came in well under the projected point total of 220.5. The Kings had a superb free throw rate of 0.253 (above their season average of 0.166) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.4 (above their season average of 19.3). With 11 points, 11 rebounds and five assists, Nemanja Bjelica played well for Sacramento.
Since last season, the Wizards have had records of 44-42 straight up (SU) and 48-50-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has had a tendency to set the total low when Washington is involved since last season as 61.6 percent of their games have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, the Kings, have records of 29-58 SU and 43-41-3 ATS since last season. Games including Sacramento have finished under the O/U total 54.0 percent of the time over that same time frame.
The Wizards won both contests against the Kings last season. In the most recent matchup, Washington won 110-92. The Wizards’ 28.6 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Kings, who had a rate of 20.0.
Washington Wizards vs. Sacramento Kings Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
When allowing below 100 points, Washington is 20-4 and Sacramento is 19-7.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Kings are 18-24 and the Wizards are 43-25.
Washington ranks fifth in assists per game (24.9) while Sacramento ranks 25th (21.7).
The Wizards rank 13th in three pointers allowed per game (29.2) while the Kings rank 29th (31.6).
Washington ranks 10th in steals per game (7.9) while Sacramento ranks 19th in steals allowed per game (7.8).
The Wizards rank sixth in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while the Kings rank 13th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.8).
Washington ranks 20th in rebounds per game (42.8) while Sacramento ranks 27th (41.1).
The Wizards rank 12th in fast break points per game (12.5) while the Kings rank 18th in fast break points allowed per game (12.6).
Sacramento ranks 15th in points in the paint per game (44.6) while Washington ranks 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.8).
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