The Denver Nuggets (9-2) look to extend their six-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Brooklyn Nets (5-6) at Pepsi Center. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, November 9, 2018, and will air on YES Network.
Denver is a 9.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 210.5 points.
Brooklyn Nets at Denver Nuggets Free Prediction
The Nets will be hoping for a similar result after comfortably covering the 2-point spread against the Phoenix Suns in their last game, 104-82. The game’s combined points (186) were well under the projected point total of 220.5. The Nets forced 20 turnovers and held the Suns to an offensive rebounding percentage of 18.8 (below the 28.5 mark opponents have averaged against Brooklyn this season). Brooklyn rallied around Caris LeVert, who was the game’s high scorer with 26 points on 10-for-16 shooting.
In the Nuggets’ last game, they dropped a tough one to the Memphis Grizzlies, 89-87, despite being 3-point favorites. The combined points for the game (176) came in well under the projected point total of 204. Memphis made good use of their 25 trips to the free throw line, making 21 of them (84.0 percent). Denver, on the other hand, was 15-19 (78.9 percent). With 16 points and nine rebounds, Denver’s Trey Lyles had a good performance.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams go head-to-head. Denver ranks 24th in possessions per game (101.8) and Brooklyn is 23rd (101.8).
Brooklyn holds records of 5-6 straight up (SU) and 6-5 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Nets games, with 6 unders compared to 4 overs.
Meanwhile, Denver owns records of 9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS. Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Nuggets are involved, as eight of their 11 games have ended under the O/U total.
After the Nuggets won both matchups against the Nets last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the last matchup, Denver won 112-104. The Nuggets had a better turnover percentage (15.7 vs. 20.2) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (18.8 vs. 17.4).
Nets at Nuggets Pick
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Denver ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (40.5) while Brooklyn ranks 21st (46.5).
Brooklyn ranks first in assists allowed per game (19.6) while Denver ranks 11th (23.2).
The Nets average 50.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Nuggets rank 14th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.2).
Brooklyn is 4-2 ATS on the road, while Denver is 5-1 ATS at home.
Bettings Trends:
In its last five outings, Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Denver is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Nets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.2, up from 0.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 104.6 points per game (4.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 96.4 points per game (4.8 below their season average).
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