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Cleveland Cavaliers at Brooklyn Nets Odds Preview 12/03/18

Amber Searls-USA TODAY Sports

The Brooklyn Nets (8-16) will try to put an end to their six-game losing streak when they go head-to-head with the Cleveland Cavaliers (4-18) at Barclays Center. The game can be seen on YES Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, December 3, 2018.

The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 212 points with Brooklyn set as a 6.5-point favorite.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Brooklyn Nets Free Prediction

Although the Cavaliers were defeated by the Toronto Raptors in their last game, 106-95, they were able to cover as 12-point underdogs. The game’s total points (201) came in under the projected point total of 213. Toronto’s 0.531 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Cleveland, who had a mark of 0.415. The Raptors’ mark was below their season average of 0.560, while the Cavaliers’ was below their season average of 0.494. Cleveland’s Tristan Thompson had a solid game, recording 18 points and 19 rebounds.

In the Nets’ last game, they were beaten by the Washington Wizards, 102-88. They failed to cover as 6-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (190) finished well under the O/U total of 228.5. Washington’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Brooklyn. The Wizards had a rate of 0.570 (above their season average of 0.515), while the Nets posted a mark of 0.420 (below their season average of 0.515). With 14 points on 5-for-10 shooting, Allen Crabbe led Brooklyn in scoring.

Look for Cleveland to dominate the offensive glass in this contest. The Cavaliers are among the NBA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking fourth in offensive rebounding percentage at 26.7 percent. Meanwhile, Brooklyn ranks 28th in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 74.8 percent.

Cleveland heads into the game with records of 4-18 straight up (SU) and 11-11 against the spread (ATS). Of the Cavaliers’ 22 games, 13 have finished under the O/U total.

Meanwhile, Brooklyn is 8-16 SU and 10-14 ATS. Games including the Nets have no tendency in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.

This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, D’Angelo Russell scored a game-high 18 points and the Nets beat the Cavaliers 102-86, covering as 2.5-point underdogs. He also recorded 8 assists. The game finished with a total of 188 points, which was 37.5 points below the projected point total of 225.5 points. Brooklyn’s 0.517 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Cleveland, who had a mark of 0.399.

Cavaliers vs. Nets Betting Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Cavaliers, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes:

On the road, Cleveland is 6-5 ATS with 6 unders and 5 overs.

Brooklyn is 3-8 ATS at home with 7 overs and 4 unders.

When allowing under 100 points, Cleveland is 1-2 and Brooklyn is 4-0.

When scoring above 100 points, the Cavaliers are 4-8 and the Nets are 8-13.

Brooklyn ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (34.6) while Cleveland ranks last (23.7).

The Cavaliers average 14.6 second chance points per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. The Nets rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (15.8).

Brooklyn ranks 11th in points in the paint per game (48.7) while Cleveland ranks 27th (41.2).

The Cavaliers rank second in rebounds allowed per game (41.8) while the Nets rank 17th (45.6).

Brooklyn ranks fourth in fast break points allowed per game (10.8) while Cleveland ranks 17th (14.0).

The Nets rank 1 in assists allowed per game (21.166666666666668) while the Cavaliers rank 11 (23.40909090909091).

Cleveland ranks 22 in steals per game (7) while Brooklyn ranks 25 (6.791666666666667).

Neither of these teams are great at blocking the ball. The Nets are 27 in the NBA with 4.125 blocks per game while the Cavaliers are 29 with 2.2727272727272725 blocks per game.

Brooklyn ranks 27 in points off turnovers per game (14.833333333333334) while Cleveland ranks 28 (14.227272727272727).

Bettings Trends:

Over its last five outings, Cleveland is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.

Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.

The Cavaliers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.8, up from 8.3 for the season.

During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 106.2 points per game (2.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.6 points per game (3.1 above their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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